TCU vs. Georgia: 3 Reasons Why The Horned Frogs Are The Right Side To Bet On

Coming off a 6-2 (ATS) record during the bowl games, including (3-0) in best bets to move to 27-17 overall for the college football season, I'm as motivated right now to give you my pick for TCU vs. Georgia as JJ McCarthy is when he opens his eyes each morning. 

But before Katya changes her mind, let's take a look at 3 reasons why I think TCU (+12.5 at BetMGM) is a solid bet to score the upset vs. Georgia in the national championship game. And being we can all bet on a little extra motivation to start 2023, and I don't buy into trends too much, I'm going to use 3 words starting with the letter 'M' to make my case for the Horned Frogs. (Note: If you or someone you know has a betting problem and wants help, please call the National Council For Problem Gambling at 1-800-522-4700.)

1.) Motivation: This one is too easy. Georgia (14-0), the big moneyline favorite (-450 or so at your sportsbook of choice) with all the Sunday toys and chardonnay-zipping fan base, was pegged by most experts at the beginning of the season to be right where they are now. 

So, this is nothing new for the 'Dawgs, playing for a second straight national championship. 

Its TCU, the little school from Ft. Worth, Texas that was unranked to start the college football season, and still double-digit 'dogs in this spot, that has to be feeling a little extra juice come Monday night. If not, disrespected. Still.

2.) Momentum: For all of Georgia's success over the last two years, including running through the SEC, they're in this spot because (1) Ohio State failed at time management late in Saturday's semifinal game and (2) a field goal kicker missed a long attempt under extreme pressure. 

The Horned Frogs, on the other hand, raced out to an 18-point lead against Michigan, before holding off a late rally by the Wolverines to secure their spot in the national championship game. 

TCU, which hasn't played for a football national championship since 1938, is also the team with the unheralded coach (Sonny Dykes) in his first season in Ft. Worth and the starting QB (Max Duggan) who not too many schools wanted. 

But all Duggan has done is overcome heart surgery on his way to becoming a Heisman Trophy runner-up this season. This after losing the starting QB role after his junior season. 

Sounds like a Disney movie to me. Stetson Bennett IV? His story is old by now.

3.) Money: Despite their dominant ways for much of the season, the Bulldogs are just 7-7 against the spread heading into the matchup vs. TCU, including 5-5 in their last 10 against the spread. 

Georgia failed to cover as significant favs against Missouri, Florida and Kentucky. 

The Horned Frogs, meanwhile, were 10-3 overall against the spread and covered four times as favorites in their last 10 games.

So, be careful in putting too much stock in one team over the other .. before placing your bet. If you haven't already decided to bet on the Horned Frogs on Monday night!