(2) Xavier vs. (2) Texas (Fri., Mar. 24., approx., 9:45 pm): Texas, -190* moneyline favorites in this spot, beat Colgate and Penn State to advance to the second weekend, while the Musketeers scored wins over Kennesaw State and Pittsburgh to get to Kansas City, Mo.
For all the 💰 bet in recent days on the Musketeers, I feel Xavier, just okay vs. Kennesaw State after handling an average Pitt squad, is fortunate to be in the Sweet 16.
Xavier, while capable of scoring in bunches, bets heavily on pushing the ball in an effort to get easy buckets, but the big + athletic Longhorns, right now getting great interior play from Dylan Disu, are a problem - thanks to their ability to force turnovers on 'D'.
Texas, who I've watched plenty of this season, also bets on their ability to play multiple styles of hoops + adjusting on the fly. The Longhorns can slow you down, but are definitely open to pushing the pace, if required. Just go ask the Kansas Jayhawks.
The 'Horns, way off target from 3-pt. land (1-for-13) in their 'W' vs. Penn State, were 🔐 by an opp. out to guard the perimeter from the jump. But bet on the 'Horns to get plenty of open 👁️👁️ from 3 pt. distance vs. the Xavier.
Sean Miller vs. Rodney Terry, the coaching matchup in this spot, is also of note to me.
It's no secret why Miller, 5-1 ATS as an underdog in Sweet 16 and Elite Eight games, was shipped out of Arizona - his on-court success aside. Terry, a 🏀-lifer on a dream run since taking over for Chris Beard earlier this season, is still fighting off the 'interim tag' despite the 'Horns being two wins from the Final Four. It's a heavy price to pay, but I'm betting his joy ride continues vs. Xavier.
Bet: Texas -190 (*✓ your sportsbook of choice for updated moneylines, odds, etc.)
Based in South Florida, I have covered sports for a host of local and national platforms in over two decades. Betting Brent Musburger I could eat more hot dogs than him while at a college football game at the Orange Bowl was profitable, but finding winners is truly my best bet. While MLB has always been my primary sport of focus, I have no issues betting on my knowledge when it comes to the NBA, NHL, NCAAF and NCAAM.
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