Get Sharp: 3 Betting Tips To Improve Your NFL Betting

 

NFL betting tip: Shop around for best odds,which in turn will save you money (over time) and improve your betting edge while you have access to multiple sportsbooks.

Millions of dollars are bet on NFL games every weekend and with the regular season winding down bettors of all skill levels are looking for some betting action. 

But whether you're a new NFL bettor or a recreational NFL bettor who wants to swing for the fences (make money) during the holiday season and beyond, there's always room to improve your return on investment.

Here are 3 tips that will not only improve your NFL betting skills, but definitely make it feel like the most wonderful time of the year.

1.) Don't Overreact: I know there is four weeks remaining in the regular season, but every week is different. Every team has talent and most of the games are very close. So, don't fall into the trap of watching too much ESPN, which is loaded of gasbags offering worthless takes. Instead, dig deep with your own homework, while learning to look beyond the final scores and basic stats. 

2.) Don't Buy Points: Buying points on a point spread means you're going to be paying more money, therefore cutting into your breakeven percentage (for said bet). It's not worth it. Even if you're pondering the option of buying a half point (for 10 cents), it should only be considered if you want to get onto or off a key number (3,4, 6, 7 and 14). That said, try not to buy points when betting on NFL games.

3.) Shop Around For Best Odds: A smart shopper, I'm assuming, would shop at more than one store for that new shirt, right? An NFL bettor looking to score a long-term profit should definitely do the same thing. That's why you should always have access to multiple sportsbooks. It not only will give you a better understanding of the bets you're making, but save you money over time. And it takes little effort. So, always shop around for (better) odds if you want to become a better NFL bettor. 

#nfl #betting #tips #you #how #bettor #bets #money

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NFL Week 15 Betting Picks: Colts (+4) & Dolphins (+7) weather the storm; Lions and Jets can't find the end zone

Surprise, surprise my NFL betting friends,  it's going to be really cold in Buffalo when the Bills (-7) host the Dolphins on Saturday night. 

Only here's a kind reminder for bettors and everyone planning to watch and/or attend one of the key games on the NFL's Week 15 bet board: 

It's the league's job, partly, to sell you on the possibility of Tua freezing to death on the 50-yard-line while millions of people watch on the NFL Network and thousands of others knock back shots of whiskey - inside a cold as **** stadium. 

Why else would the NFL bet on you devoting three hours (at least) to an otherwise meaningless game a week before Christmas? 

Unless, you root for the Dolphins or the Bills and/or have money riding on the outcome? 

With that out of the way, are you still sinking or swimming with the Dolphins, losers of two straight games and playing for a third consecutive week on the road? 

Are you ready to fade the Colts, even though they're playing on a Saturday for the first time under interim coach Jeff Saturday? 

Would you bet on chicken wings over pizza, if you were hosting a football watch party? 

After a 1-2 week (Viva, Sam Darnold!), which dropped my overall NFL betting record to 21-11-1, I'm motivated to get you all back to the cash window. 

I'm also ready to sign a petition that would make it illegal to wear an NFL jersey out in public, if you qualify for free breakfast at (rhythms with pennies, not dimes). 

Here are my NFL Week 15 betting picks. 

Cold truth: QB Tua Tagovailoa, who is 1-3 all-time vs. the Bills, has never won an NFL game in Buffalo. 

Colts (+4) @ Vikings: I'm just not buying what the Vikings are selling. I also feel they're very overvalued, while Indy, coming off a bye week and getting points, has the better defense, which in turn could slow things down and make this a close game. I know the Colts have been an awful first-half team this season, but the Vikings, who have only one win by more than one score, have a tendency of keeping things tight. Indy has also had an extra week to prepare for Kirk Cousins. LOL! 😁 And if that's not enough, there's no way you should pass up betting on the Colts under Jeff Saturday on a Saturday. 

Dolphins (+7) @ Bills: This line smells as bad as the excuse one of my relatives uses every time he shows up .. with no FISH!! So, it's going to be cold. Whatever. The only reason the weather is being overplayed in this spot is because the NFL wants you to sit in front of your TV on Saturday night and suffer a stroke - after eating 175 wings. After one of the players freezes on the field as well. All kidding aside, the Dolphins, losers of two straight games, were in bad spots against both the 49ers and Chargers. I suspect the Dolphins, behind a steady running game and opportunistic defense, keep it close, if not win straight up in Buffalo. For all my love for the Bills, I still think they have to do a better job of running the ball if they intend to win the Super Bowl this season. And that includes trying to keep Josh Allen from seriously hurting himself. 

Lions @ Jets U44.5: Jared Goff trying to throw the ball in New Jersey. I'm already laughing at the possibilities of utter disaster as Detroit, 5-1 overall in their last six games, looks to throw cold ice all over the Jets melting playoff hopes. I'm not also not  betting, yet, on Zach Wilson as the long-term solution at QB for the Jets. Whatever happens, I suspect a sloppy game in the Meadowlands on Sunday afternoon.

(Please let me know what you think of my betting content on this page. I would really appreciate your support, comments and messages as well. You can also connect with me at miami_by_fernie on Instagram.)

#nfl #picks #betting #picks #bets #bet 

How to Bet on College Football: A short primer for beginners ready to bet during the 'Bowl Season'

The bowl season is here and with 42 college football bowl games scheduled through Jan. 9th, betting on bowl games this time of year is as popular (with bettors) as deciding who to scratch off of that dreaded Christmas list.  

While plenty of head coaches have landed new jobs and many college football players bet their futures on the transfer portal, bettors everywhere are prepping to bet on a bowl game, or two, in the coming weeks. 

But you don't need to start sweating not knowing what "betting against the spread" means, or buying your socially awkward uncle another awful sweater, because you're in the right place, if new to college football betting and looking for 'action' right now.

So, here's a short glossary on 'How To Bet On College Football', which is important for bettors of all levels - whether you're making your first college football bet or a sharp bettor ready to work over a betting line.

(Note: I will also provide some free betting tips throughout this article on 'How To Bet On College Football'. If applied correctly, the betting tips might help you win a few bets during the 2022-23 bowl season.)

Against the Spread: Betting against the spread is the most popular way to bet on college football. For example, let's say Georgia (-6.5) is favorite against Ohio State. If you bet on Georgia, in this case, the Bulldogs would have to win the game by 7 points or more for you to win your bet. On the contrary, a bet on the underdog (Ohio State) would require they win the game and/or lose by 6 points or less for you to cash your bet. 

Betting the Moneyline: Also quite popular with college football bettors, winning a moneyline bet requires picking the team that will win the game. For example, let's assume Clemson is (-145) to beat Tennessee in the Orange Bowl. If you think a moneyline bet on Clemson is the way to go, you have to risk $145 to win $245 (based on a $100 bet). But if you think Tennessee, the underdog in this spot, is going to beat Clemson, you can bet $100 on the underdog Vols. A win would return $245 (based on a $100 bet). 

Betting Tips: 1.) There is a former NFL player coaching his alma mater in a bowl game in the same city where he played for much of his pro career. 2.) A color scheme in a bowl game being played in Miami, Florida could easily help you determine the winner of Clemson vs. Tennessee. 3.) There is a hidden, but useful, hint in the sponsor title of a particular bowl game this year. 4.) Extra homework on Mississippi State vs. Illinois could put extra money in your pocket this holiday season. Hint: Even a novice college football bettor should figure this one out.

Straight 💰: QB Stetson Bennett puffs on a cigar after leading Georgia to a win in last season's national championship game. (Photo Courtesy: Getty Images).  

Betting Totals (Over/Under):  Don't have a strong opinion on USC or Tulane winning the bowl game? If so, you can bet on the 'Total' combined points both teams will score in the bowl game. So, again, let's assume the total over/under for this particular game is (65). If you bet the 'Under', both teams need to score 64 points or less to collect your bet. If you bet the 'Over', both teams will need to score a total amount of 66 points or more.

Parlays:  A parlay is a bet that involves more than one college football game. A parlay can include a combo of moneyline, point spread and/or total. For example: You can put Ohio State (+6.5), Clemson (-145) and Michigan (-7.5) on one single betting ticket. 

Teasers: Similar to a 'Parlay', a 'Teaser' is a multiple team bet against the spread or the total, while the bettor sacrifices potential bet earnings for more favorable spreads (using 6, 6.5 or 7 points. For example, let's use a three-team 'Teaser' applying +6 points to Mississippi State (-2), Louisville (-1), and Michigan (-7.5) - all college football teams participating in the 2022-23 bowl season. The change of spreads (+6) would reflect in Mississippi State (+4), Louisville (+5), and Michigan (-2 5). While you can also apply a Teaser to a Total, your potential payout can be less than expected because you're getting favorable spreads. (Note: You can use teasers when betting on the total of a college football game.)

My Best Bets For The 2022-23 Bowl Season

Bowl season is here and there's no better time of the year for college football bettors.

Whether you're a new bettor figuring out how to make a moneyline bet or a sharp bettor looking to pounce on a miscalculated betting line, the holiday season offers over 40 bowl games for you to bet on. 

I finished the regular season 21-15-1 (after an 0-3 Week 0), so I'm good with how the results of my college football bets turned out this season. So, check out my best bets for the bowl season, before you scratch off anybody else off of your Christmas list!

(Note: Now, that it's time to bet the bowl season, I'm truly on the lookout for what teams I believe are (really) motivated to play in a bowl game, in addition to coaching changes and players who opt out and/or transferring. All key factors you should consider before making a bet on a college football bowl game. 

Here are my best bets for the bowl season.

Thursday, Dec. 22

Lockheed Martin Air Forces Bowl: Air Force +6.5 (vs. Baylor) Can't really figure out why Baylor was made nearly a touchdown favorite in this bowl game. I also think the Bears facing tough competition towards the latter part of their regular season schedule, including playing No. 3 TCU and No. 21 Texas has something to do with the love they're getting from odds guys. But I'm siding with the Falcons (9-3), who will show up with one of the nation's best defensive units (allowing just 12.9 points per game). Air Force also eats up a lot of time and yards with a rushing attack gaining over 300 yards per game. There's also a fun fact in this bowl game, but I'm not giving it away. 

Friday Dec. 30

Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl: Pittsburgh +3.5 (vs. UCLA):  I tend to side with teams who have have strong defensive units, including in this spot as the Panthers (8-4) allowed just a tad under 100 rushing yards per game during the regular season. I also saw the Panthers put up as many points as the Bruins did by season's end. Pittsburgh gets it done, in what could turnout to be a one-sided track meet. 

Monday, Jan. 2

Rose Bowl: Penn State +3 (vs. Utah): Here's another college football betting line I think is a bit off the mark. While I understand the Utes are coming off a conference championship game win against USC, I feel the Trojans were a bit inflated. So, I'm not sure I put too much value in Utah's multiple wins over USC this season, especially the last one which featured a very-limited Caleb Williams for the Trojans.  Penn State has a very good defense and will be able to move the ball, namely on the ground, against an average Utah defense. 

#bets #collegefootball #betting #bowlseason #bet 

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