My only concern as I watched dejected head coach Manny Diaz standing in the corner of an empty stadium after another crushing defeat was how much 💰 the Miami Hurricanes (2-4 SU/1-4 ATS) have cost bettors this season despite a backdoor cover last time out.
But the Hurricanes' issues, costing college football bettor's aside, pale in comparison to their Hard Rock Stadium roommate-Dolphins, who are (1-5 SU/1-5 ATS) after losing on a last-second FG to arguably the worst team in the NFL, and failing to cover as solid chalk.
The Dolphins are not only a bad bet right now, but a franchise lacking direction -- especially at starting QB -- of all of positions -- where they seem intrigued by Tua Tagovailoa, but not ready to drop on one knee for the former first-round pick.
So, while the Dolphins, in dire need of a complete reboot again, from their general manager to the head coach, figure out how to get to the 💰 window, let's take a Bet ✓ of the NCAAF and NFL bet boards this week, where we find a few double-digit favorites (6-2 ATS this season in the NFL).
(Note: I have compiled a 33-25-1 overall record, including bouncing back at 5-3 last week, after taking a few bad beats to start October. I do tons of homework, watch a ridiculous amount of games, and still believe in using a combination of intuition and past performances to arrive at my picks.)
Bears (+12.5) @ Buccaneers
The Bears, for all their problems on offense, had some success on the ground vs. the Packers, and Justin Fields now has another week under his belt. While the Bucs might have a strong defensive line, their secondary, ravaged by injuries in recent weeks, appears a bit vulnerable, and is a good bet to give up some big plays. Chicago, who took down 'old Tommy just a season ago, has better 🍕 than Tampa -- so take the Bears to the betting window.
Falcons (-2.5) @ Dolphins
Is there a logical reason in your mind to bet on the Dolphins as short home underdogs a week after taking a gut-punch? Meanwhile, Atlanta, making moves on offense, has seen Matt Ryan throw for at least two touchdown passes in the last four games, not to mention benefit from the emergence of WR Calvin Ridley and TE Kyle Pitts. Besides, the Dolphins couldn't even get an off-week from the NFL after being shipped to London. And the Falcons arrive a well-rested bunch. You're a real pro, if you can cover your nose and spread 💰 on the 🎏.
Bengals (+6.5) @ Ravens
Cincinnati catching almost a full touchdown against a divisional opponent is enough to still believe Joe Burrow has a higher upside than Lamar Jackson -- any day of the week. Trust the Bengals, firing away on offense, to stay within the number, if not pull out the SU win. Send us some 🦀 🍰, though.
Saints @ Seahawks (+4.5)
Geno Smith vs. Jameis Winston on MNF might be cause for another round of Succession reruns on HBO. Trust me. But for 'Bet ✓' it's plenty of reason to bet the home 'dog off -- especially whenever you can catch points going against Winston.
Ducks @ Bruins - Under 60
Another spot where the unranked team is a short favorite. But with an uninspiring Oregon offense and UCLA reeving up it's running game to open up play-action scenarios, the end zone might be a distant memory on Saturday afternoon. Bet the under total.
Tigers @ Rebels - Under 76
Ole Miss is really bang up - QB Matt Corral included. LSU, on the other hand, controlled the pace vs. Florida by running the ball effectively. That's a lot of points to cover for two teams with serious questions.
Nose of the ball: Can Oregon, short road underdogs this week, count on an injury-plagued offense to score enough points vs. UCLA?
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