It's not even October and the Dolphins (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) are showing signs of cracking. If not, trying to put a positive spin - internally at least - on what to do with Tua Tagovailoa after his return from IR with fractured ribs.
But don't hold your breath because whispers are already swirling the former first-round pick might not be part of the Dolphins long-term plans at QB - no matter how the Dolphins perform the next three weeks. Yet, for all their issues, starting QB, included, the Dolphins, who host the Colts at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, have managed to cover the spread in two of their first three games this season.
And the Dolphins will have a built-in advantage vs. Indianapolis -- if you pay close attention to transactions, injuries and line moves, among other things. In the meantime, five undefeated teams remain, while the Giants and Jets are still trying to figure things out. Time for a 'Bet ✓' time: (All ranks are based on the betting value and long-term projections for each team.)
1.) Cowboys: A legit player in the NFC - with an MVP candidate playing at a high level and deep depth across the roster. Don't buy into Dallas (3-0 ATS), showing marked improvement on offense and defense, thanks to very good coordinators, respectively, being mismanaged by their head coach because only one thing can derail them: Injuries.
2.) Packers: By now, hopefully you've seen enough Aaron Rodgers commercials to know such things matter. If not, pay attention. That's two ATS wins in a row - after the opener vs. New Orleans. Serious NFC player, too. If they can string together some of their defensive woes.
3.) Bills: Everything looks good for now -- even the tall one staring at you while you wait for your wings at the bar in Buffalo. But can the Bills continue to score at their current pace? Hold off on those over totals .. and wings, until we see more.
4.) Steelers: Love when everyone starts jumping off a sinking ship. It gives the wise a chance to buy low. Check back in a couple weeks, when the OL has been restored and their rookie RB is gaining steam. Until then, wait under the tunnel.
5.) Rams: Only because they're still on honeymoon. But beware: This is Matthew Stafford we're making a big deal about. And the Rams, while talented on defense, have a tendency to get caught napping in the secondary.
6.) Raiders: 3-0 for the first time since they went bowling in 2002 and they own Las Vegas right now. I'm buying the Raiders and their understated QB as Super Bowl worthy. But passing on their owner's hairdresser.
Grounded: Will QB Tua Tagovailoa, out with fractured ribs, ever live up to his first-round pick status with the Miami Dolphins?
7.) Panthers : Always love when a team loses a star player because the general perception is said team will go in the tank. No so -- Panthers included. Very well coached team, which has the perfect formula to play deep into January. Buy while you can still beat the market.
8.) Chargers: See above. Only the Chargers have a star quarterback and respectable defense.
9.) 49ers: Enough talent to go down to the wire in primetime vs. the Packers - but is their head coach cut out for January?
10.) Browns: Best defensive line in AFC, if not the entire league. Another outfit you can buy relatively cheap right now. It will co$t you a few more pennies in a few months - especially if the Browns are injury and drama-free.
11.) Cardinals: Arguably the best talent in the NFC, but unfortunately handled by a head coach who makes some head-scratching decisions on occasion. And has a thing for the TV cams.
12.) Patriots: Right here is just fine -- especially with a prime spot vs. the Bucs on Sunday night.
13-15.) Broncos, Seahawks and Chiefs
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