Points well taken: What is a NFL + NCAAF spread bet and how can you make one

For sharps or the most novice of sports bettors in Florida, recently added to the long list of states where you can make a legal sports bet (*for now anyway), the start of a new year means the NFL regular season is coming to a close, while the college football playoffs are just around the corner. 

While there are many ways to bet, especially with the rise in recent years of DraftKings, FanDuel, and Caesars, in addition to other sites and mobile apps, the main one is point spread betting. Here is an example of a NFL spread bet and how it works. 

When making an NFL point spread bet, which is widely regarded as one of the most popular bets to make when betting on pro football, the final score matters - whether a bettor has a bet on the favorite (denoted with an - by a team's name ) or the underdog (-). 

For example, let's say the Miami Dolphins, the home team for the purpose of this exercise, are favored by 5 points against the Houston Texans. You can bet on the home favorite Dolphins at (-5) or the road underdog Texans (+5). If you bet on the Dolphins, they would have to win the game by 6 points or more for you to win your bet. If you bet on the Texans, they would have either lose by 4 points or fewer, if not win the game for you to win your bet. 

Regardless, you will likely have to pay an additional 10% to make the spread bet, meaning a $100 wager will end up costing you $110 (known as the 'juice' or 'vig').

*Being that you have to pay that $10, you will have to win 52.38 percent of the time to break even. Nobody said sports betting is easy. 

(Note: I encourage all NFL and/or NCAAF bettors to get into the habit of monitoring spreads throughout the week as sportsbooks are likely to adjust the lines depending on what team(s) are being bet on the most.

Have a question, comment, business inquiry or just want to get in touch? You can email me at wordbyfernie@gmail.com. I would also appreciate your support on social media @bet_on305fernie. Thanks for stopping by.

NFL Week 11 Betting Pick(s): Cowboys @ Panthers Go Under 42.5 Points Total

Week 11 of the NFL season continues this weekend, and I like a couple selections, including the Cowboys @ Panthers to go under the 42.5 points total. (*As per usual, you can follow me @bet_on305fernie on (X) for additional betting content, analysis, information and best bets.)

Cowboys @ Panthers - u42.5

Last we saw the Cowboys were lighting up the scoreboard vs. the Giants, but this offense isn't quite the same on the road, given their (53 points) combined the last three times out - away from home. The Panthers, for all their problems on offense, will provide plenty of resistance on defense, especially with some key players back on the field. 

While oddsmakers see a one-sided affair, we can't disvalue the Panthers, who last played on Nov. 9 (TNF), having 10 days off, while Dallas plays it's annual Thanksgiving home game next Thursday. So, the Cowboys are in a potential lookahead spot, and could be looking to give some of their starters some rest, if they build a big lead in the game. 

Carolina's offense has not scored 41 total points in its last three games, but once again handing play-calling duties to head coach Frank Reich. Therefore, another transition is likely in order. And while Dallas' defense isn't as formidable as in past years, I'm betting on their pass rush to make it a long day for Bryce Young and Co.  

Additional Pick: 

Eagles +2.5

Chomp away: Bet on home 'dog Gators (+7) vs. Tennessee

Week 3 of the college football season is here and I'm looking to build on a 5-2 overall start - despite incorrectly opting for the under total in last week's Texas A&M @ Miami game. However, after taking a look at the betting board, I only see value in one spot: home 'dog Florida (+7) against the No. 11 UT Volunteers. 

Read why I like the Gators this week 👇: 

Tennessee @ Florida +7

For all of their issues in recent years, the Gators, 9-1 straight up in their last 10 home games vs. UT, are, in my opinion, being overlooked as 'dogs in this spot.

Despite a Week 1 loss (as a road 'dog at Utah), the Gators defense allowed just 270 yards of total offense to the Utes, keeping UF within striking distance for much of the game. Even after an early breakdown in the secondary put them in a 7-0 hole. Florida QB Graham Mertz, showing solid accuracy, and an ability to find open receivers despite uneven play from the Gators O line, has completed 74 % of his passes for 526 yards and two scores. I expect another strong game from Mertz - especially if the Gators hold up well upfront vs. an elite Vols D line.

At 2-0, UT has shown off offensively, at least in the running game, but their work came against Austin Peay and Virginia, so, it's hard to judge just how good the Vols really are at this point. Additionally, QB Joe Milton has yet to be really tested this season, and I'm interested to see what he can do in a hostile environment with Gator defenders coming after him. 

The Vols are legit good on both sides of the ball. But, UF is better than what they're being made out to be. All due respect to Utah and McNeese St., it's been weeks since the Gators started prepping for this game. 

Better play by the Gators O line, if not a turnover, or two, could flip the script in a blink of an eye. I also expect the Gators to set, and control the pace of the game with their running attack. So, +7/6.5 is too good to bypass. Let's go barking with the home 'dog! 

Read more of my betting content here and follow me on (x) at bet_on305fernie for additional picks, tips, etc. Thanks !!

 

NCAAF+ NFL Best Bets: Go under 49.5 points in Texas A&M @ Miami; take Texans +10 vs. the Ravens

The first weekend with both NCAAF and NFL action is finally here and the betting board is loaded with intriguing matchups.

Can Texas (+7.5) upset Alabama in Tuscaloosa? Are the Hurricanes (+4.5) good enough to score a big win against Texas A&M? Is Nebraska (+3) primed to halt the nation's love affair with Deion and the Buffaloes? Are Lamar Jackson and Todd Monken truly made for each other?

At 5-1 overall, including 2-1 against the spread and 3-0 in game totals, through two weeks of NCAAF bets, I'm ready to help you get back to the cash window. Here are my NCAAF and NFL best bets for this weekend.

Good luck, everyone !!

Texas A&M @ Miami: under 49.5 points

I found it very curious how the line and total for this game took a turn towards the 'Canes, after A&M opened as a 6 -point road fav at a number of 'books.

That's why I'm fixated on the under total.

I realize Miami, 0-2 as a home 'dog last year, allowed 42 points or more in four of seven home games a year ago, including 45 to Middle Tennessee St., Florida St., and Pittsburgh, respectively.

However, in last year's matchup between these two teams, which netted just 26 total points, Miami held A&M to 264 yards of offense. The Aggies, coming off a 52-10 win over New Mexico, will be hard-pressed to put up that kind of offensive production against an improved Miami D.

On the flip side, I believe Texas A&M matches up very well on both sides of the line of scrimmage vs. Miami. 

The Hurricanes, starved for a big win, could be staring at 4-0 with a win in this spot. I look for Miami to want to keep the ball on the ground, and control the pace of the game. The Aggies, meanwhile, have upcoming home dates with Auburn, Arkansas, and Alabama before a mid-October trip to Tennessee. Therefore, Jimbo might have bigger fish to fry. 

All told, I see a tight, low-scoring game playing out at Hard Rock Stadium. It's also set for a 3:30 p.m. kick-off, which means its going to be hot. And we're already melting for the under total.

Houston @ Baltimore: Texans +10

Maybe, it's the contrarian in me, but I would suggest betting AGAINST NFL teams starting a season with a lot of hype. Especially when it's the opener.

I'm also all in on a Week 1 road 'dog catching (10+) points - even one starting a rookie QB in this spot - because nobody knows what teams really are until they hit the playing field. 

That includes the Ravens, who will be breaking in new offensive coordinator Todd Monken, in addition to being without secondary mainstay Marlon Humphrey vs the Texans on Sunday. 

For all their off season moves, which included inking QB Lamar Jackson to a new deal and adding WR Odell Beckham Jr. via free agency, the Ravens opted to rest most of their starters for much of the preseason. That to me is an edge, as I don't expect Baltimore to just move the ball at will, given they are working in a new offense. Add the unpredictable nature of most NFL games and there's no clear indicator the Ravens are 10+ points better than Houston - right now.

The Texans were sneaky respectable on defense last season, especially in the secondary. Throw in the return of Derek Stingley Jr. to a defense with Will Anderson Jr. and Jimmy Ward, and it would be foolish to assume they are going to be easy work for the Ravens.

In fact, I expect the Texans to do a good job of pressuring Jackson, especially if the Ravens decide to go pass-heavy. I'm interested to see what Monken draws up, if the Texans do bottle up Jackson and Co. On offense, I look for Houston RB Dameon Pierce to find clear running lanes, and rookie QB C.J. Stroud to make plenty of positive plays with his legs.

Week 1 road 'dogs of 8 or more points are also 25-9 ATS (74 %) since 2003. 

Finally: We may look back months from now to find the Texans are buried in the bottom of the AFC South. But there's no reason to believe they can't hang with the Ravens in Week 1. If not, crush plenty of survival pools with a straight up win.

 

Week 1 college football betting picks: UF-Utah under 45.5 points, Miami of Ohio +17.5, Toledo +9.5

Week 1 of the college football season is here, and there's no way we can bypass the betting board, especially off a 2-0 start. Here are my Week 1 picks. (Note: Check your favorite sportsbooks for updated lines, odds, etc.)

Florida @ Utah: under 45.5/46 points

As of this writing, it wasn't clear if Utah QB Cam Rising, coming off surgery for a torn ACL, was going to suit up against the Gators.

If Rising is ruled out, redshirt junior Bryson Barnes will get the start. The Utes will also be without TE Brant Kuithe. Therefore, I expect Utah to lean on their running game.

The Gators, inserting Wisconsin transfer Graham Mertz at QB, will look to RBs Montrell Johnson Jr. and Trevor Etienne to get their offense going.

 That said, expect Utah to put an emphasis on stopping the run, while forcing Mertz to make some poor decisions.

The total and line here have dropped in recent days -- all because of the uncertainty surrounding Rising. Either way, I expect a low-scoring game. And UF to stick around.

Miami (Ohio) @ UM: under 46 points & Miami of Ohio +17

This, to me, is one of the most interesting games on the Week 1 betting board. Unlike a lot of people, I'm not buying what Miami head coach Mario Cristobal is selling. 

The 'Canes, who tend to struggle against 'lesser' opponents, were awful at home last year, and welcome in Texas A&M next week. 

QB Tyler Van Dyke's health and poor defensive play, if not issues at the WR position, are additional concerns I have about Miami. 

The RedHawks, on the flip side, are no pushover. QB Brett Gabbert is back from injury, and has plenty of options on offense.

Miami of Ohio also returns seven defensive starters, including the entire front line, from a unit that led the MAC in points allowed last season. On offense, the Redhawks love to employ their power-run game. Something UM has struggled to stop in recent years. 

Cristobal, not good in these spots, is 7-21-2 in his last 30 games against the spread. There's also the possibility of heavy rain falling over Hard Rock Stadium on Friday night. Beware!

 

Bienvenido a 'Miami': Can Redhawks QB Brett Gabbert, who had some strong words earlier this week for the Hurricanes, help Miami (of Ohio) pull off the road upset? 

📸: Cincinnati Inquirer 

Toledo @ Illinois: Rockets +9.5

In prepping for this game, I noted Toledo actually had one more vote than Illinois, in the initial AP Top 25 poll released a few weeks ago. And that's telling, especially with the Rockets hitting the road with QB Dequan Finn, an explosive talent who ran for 631 yards and nine touchdowns last season.

Toledo also returns RB Jacquez Stuart. 

I look for the Rockets to control the game with their running game, while opening up opportunities for Finn against an average Illinois defense. This number is too good to pass up. Long live the MAC !!

Points well taken: What is a NFL point spread bet and how you can make one this season

The start of the NFL regular season is almost here !!

And with a host of sportsbooks apps now available at your fingertips, including at Fan Duel, you can also make (live) in-game bets, when betting on NFL game(s). 

But in this blog post, we're going to summarize how to bet the point spread, when betting on any pro football game.

BETTING THE POINT SPREAD

Betting the point spread, not only one of the easiest bets to understand when betting on pro football, but very popular among all bettors, is also known as betting 'against the spread' (ATS). 

A way of encouraging equal betting on both teams, a point spread (bet) provides sportsbooks a way of balancing their action -- after oddsmakers set point spreads for all NFL games.

(Note: Plenty of NFL lines come with an additional half-point, otherwise known as a 'hook'. The 'hook' is intended to avoid any chance of a push (or tie); example like given scores of 7-6 (+1.5), 27-24 (+3.5), 20-14 (+6.5), 31-24 (+7.5), etc.)

In a point spread bet, the final score matters - whether a bettor has the favorite (-) or the underdog (+). For example, let's say the Houston Texans are favored by 5 points against the Miami Dolphins. 

In order for any bettor to win a point spread bet, the 'favored' team (look for a minus next to a team's name) not only has to win the game, but do so by the given point spread for you to cash a bet on the favorite laying points.

On the flip side, if you bet the underdog, which is the team receiving points, they don't have to win the game straight up for you to win your bet - given they don't lose the game by more than the amount of points you took when making the 'spread' bet.

Using Dolphins @ Texans (-5) as an example for this exercise, the team with the negative sign (-5) is the favorite; in this case, it's Houston. If you bet on the Texans against the spread, they have to win the game by at least six points for you to win your bet. So, if the final score is 20-14, or any other score that denotes the Texans winning by at least six points, you cash your bet.

If you bet on the Dolphins, the road underdog with a plus sign (+5), you win your bet if Miami loses by four or fewer points (20-16, 17-13, etc). You also cash your bet, if the Dolphins win the game straight up. 

(Note: It's always a good idea for NFL bettors to monitor the point spreads throughout the week of the games as sportsbooks, who obviously prefer the money be evenly split, are likely to adjust the lines depending on what team is being bet on the most.)

           

Betting the NFL point spread: In order for bettors to cash an NFL point spread bet, the team bet on - whether it's the favorite or underdog - has to win the game by a given margin (*see above).

 

NFL Moneyline Action: What is a NFL moneyline bet; how you can make one this season

With the NFL regular season almost here, bettors everywhere are prepping for a bonanza of football action over the next five months. 

And with a host of sportsbook apps available, including at Fan Duel and Draft Kings, a number of different bets are available when betting on the NFL. But a moneyline bet is still a popular option  when looking for pro football action. Here is a short explanation of a 'moneyline bet', and how to make one when betting pro football. 

HOW TO MAKE A NFL MONEYLINE BET

Moneyline bets, common place in baseball, soccer, and other sports where the final score(s) tend to be on the lower side, can also be made on NFL games.

Unlike with a point spread bet, you're betting on what team will the win the game when making a moneyline bet on any particular NFL team. (*The final score doesn't matter - as long as the team you bet on wins the game.)

Moneyline favorites (-170) are denoted with a negative sign; underdogs are denoted with a plus sign (+;). Let's say the underdog Dolphins (+130) are playing the favorite Texans (-170). If you think Miami is going to win, you bet $100 to win $130. If you like Houston to cash your moneyline bet, you must bet $170 to win $100.

(Reminder: A 10-20 % fee, known as the 'juice' in sports betting circles, will be baked into your moneyline bet. So, a $100 bet will cost you from $110-$120.)

    

                    

Moneyline: In order to win your moneyline bet, the team you bet has to win the game.

                 

Hold the offense: Bet Colts-Bears to go under the 40.5 point total

The total for this game kept rising earlier in the week after Colts QB Anthony Richardson was named the No. 1 starter.

 Meanwhile, Bears QB Justin Fields isn't expected to play.

 Regardless, l like the under 40.5 point total. Here's why. 

Colts @ Bears: Under 40.5 (-110)

While I think the Bears and Colts are set to play plenty of key starters on offense, both teams have plenty to iron out when it comes to moving the football effectively.

On one hand, Richardson, named the Colts No. 1 QB earlier this week, threw a pick on his first NFL drive last week, and looked quite uncomfortable doing it. 

As a result, he's likely to see the field a lot, and that's a good thing for under bettors because I'm not sure the Florida alum is better right now than backup QBs Gardner Minshew or Sam Ehlinger. 

At first glance, Fields' stats last week (129 passing yards and two touchdown passes on just three completions) jump off the page. But most of those yards were gained after successful screen passes. In addition, the Bears, working out a new offensive scheme, have determined Fields will not play against Indy. So, be very careful.

Finally, as a contrarian, I like the fact that the total in this game keeps going up. I also tend to take a hard look at the under total in NFL preseason games. Especially in this spot, and given the uncertainty, still, surrounding both of the offensive units.

Cut it out: Bet Washington (+3.5) to beat Baltimore, end streak

Commanders (+3.5) over Ravens 

The Ravens, on a 24-game preseason win streak, rested most of their key starters in last week's win over the Eagles. So, it's safe to bet on Lamar Jackson and Co. playing very little here.

Despite a Week 1 preseason win against the the Browns, Washington struggled to find any offensive rhythm with Sam Howell or Jacoby Brissett behind center. For that reason, I look for Howell and Brissett to get significant playing time as the Commanders not only look to settle in on a starting quarterback, but dig deep into what is an uneven roster. 

One of the few preseason questions left for the Ravens to answer is who will be their backup QB: Tyler Huntley or Josh Johnson?  Oddly, Huntley, nursing a hamstring injury despite reportedly being in the lead to win the job, might not play much in this spot, leaving the 37-year-old Johnson plenty of snaps vs. Washington.

Watching Johnson at quarterback, even against Washington's second and third-team teamers on defense, should give all bettors pause, even with a meaningless winning steak at play. 

Without giving away all of my NFL betting strategy, I'm also intrigued by a road underdog getting more than a field goal against a team riding a meaningless winning streak.

Remember: Washington, losers of four straight exhibition games vs. Baltimore, doesn't have to win the game straight up, as losing by a FG or less would be just fine.

Bet on Terance Crawford (-150) to defeat Errol Spence Jr. in 'super-fight' for welterweight supremacy

 

Finally boxing bettors have another 'super-fight' to bet on as Terence Crawford (39-0, 33 KOs) vs. Errol Spence Jr. (33-0, 22 KOs) takes place Saturday night at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV. Whether or not, Crawford and Spence Jr., still the two best welterweights in the world but only now getting in the ring after years of engaging in social media wars and promotional teases, provide a memorable fight is no sure bet. 

But their respective styles make it an intriguing watch -- at least going into the fight. 

Betting Analyst + Prediction 

At first glance, Crawford (-150), a solid favorite at most sportsbooks to win the long-awaited unification bout for all the belts in the welterweight division, appears to be the right bet. Especially, if you can get him at a reasonable price.

Still widely considered the best pound-for-pound boxer in the world, Crawford's ability to switch from orthodox to southpaw on a whim while using his speed and footwork to neutralize opponents, if not counter-punch, is a work of art inside the ring. And it will give Spence Jr., who at times can find himself flat-footed, problems.

His overall skill set unaffected by his trajectory, Crawford, who unified two titles at 135 pounds before running through the super lightweight division, is 9-0 at welterweight. 

While just 5-foot-8, Crawford will not only have a reach advantage but is also the better defensive fighter. It will help him ward off any kind of pressure in this spot.

Spence Jr. (+120), the underdog despite owning three welterweight belts, is on the short list of top welterweights since picking apart Kell Brook in 2017; his size and strength giving him a physical advantage over Crawford - at least on paper. 

But while he owns impressive victories over Brook and Shawn Porter, both good, but not all-time fighters, it's hard to imagine him bullying Crawford around the ring for most of the night. 

When I think of putting a capsule on this fight, I think of the Sugar Ray Leonard vs. Tommy Hearns classic in 1981. In no way am I comparing these two .. but Hearns, the taller and stronger fighter, had his way for much of the early rounds before Leonard's superior boxing skills took over in the second half of the fight .. and eventually earned him a 14th round TKO win. 

So, yes, Spence Jr. will probably have his moments, especially early if he can make Crawford feel his power, but Crawford will eventually adjust and use his array of skills to earn another impressive victory. (Crawford by split decision.)

Bet: Crawford (-150) 

(Looking for a media specialist/sports betting analyst or just have a question or two on how I can be of help? Follow me @bet_on305fernie)

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Ice Cold: How To Make NHL Moneyline, Puckline & Goal Over/Under Bets

It's that time of year when NHL bettors are ready to cash in on all the hockey action.

Here is what to look for and how to make moneyline, point spread and over/under total bets when betting on NHL games.

(Note: I'm using a Rangers @ Devils game as an example on how to make moneyline, puck line and over/under goal total bets when betting on NHL games.)

Moneyline NHL Bet

When making an NHL moneyline bet, you choose what team you think will simply win the game. The odds indicate what team is the favorite (-) or the underdog (+). 

Rangers (-113)

Devils (+103)

This moneyline projects a close game with the Rangers listed as short road favorites over the Devils. As a hockey bettor, you have two options when making an NHL moneyline bet in this spot: 1.) You can bet $113 to win a return profit of $100 (=$213) on the Rangers. 2.) Or you can bet $100 to win a return profit of $103 (=$203) on the Devils.

Puck line NHL Bet 

As per usual, sportsbooks set a puck line, in place of a more common point spread, for hockey games - which is a projected margin of victory to equate into whether you think the Rangers or Devils are going to cover the given puck line. 

(Let's use the following puck line as an example.)

Rangers - 1.5 (-110)

Devils +1.5 (-110)

For you to win your bet, the side you bet on has to cover the puck line. So, if you bet on the Rangers (-1.5), New York would have to win the hockey game by two goals or more for you to win your point spread bet.

If you bet the Devils (+1.5), New Jersey would have to win the game or loss by one goal for you to win your bet. (A puck line bet that lands exactly on the number is considered a push, which means neither side wins and you get your money back.)

Total Goals ('Over/Under') NHL Bet 

Oddsmakers set a total combined goals for a game. An NHL bettor has to decide whether the amount of goals for the game will go 'Over' or 'Under' the total.

Over +6.5 (-110)

Under -6.5 (-110)

If you think the Rangers and Devils will combine to score less than six goals, you can bet on the 'Under' 6.5 total. On the flipside, if you think the Rangers and Devils will go 'Over' the total, both teams would have to score more than six goals for you to win your Over/Under bet.

(NHL lines and odds are usually available the day before a game is played, so check your sportsbook of choice for updated betting info., injuries, etc.)

Play-On: How To Make Moneyline, Point Spread and Over/Under Total Bets On NBA Games

What can beat the start of the NBA regular season for basketball bettors ready to cash in on the hardwood action over the next eight s months (?) And as is the case with other pro sports, bettors can make moneyline, point spread and over/under total bets when betting on NBA games. Here is a tutorial on what to look for and how to make moneyline, point spread and over/under total bets when betting on NBA games.

Moneyline NBA Bet

When making an NBA moneyline bet, you choose what team you think will simply win the game. The odds indicate what team is the favorite (-) or the underdog (+). 

Bulls +340

Bucks -350A

As a bettor, you have two options when making an NBA moneyline bet in this spot: 1.) You can bet $350 to win a return profit of $100 (=$450) on the home favorite Bucks. 2.) Or you can bet $100 to win a return profit of $340 (=$440) on the road underdog Bulls. 

Ballin': The start of the NBA regular season offers bettors of all levels plenty of betting options, including the chance to make moneyline and point spread bets. 📸: Getty Images 

Point Spread NBA Bet 

As per usual, sportsbooks set a point spread, which is a projected margin of victory to equate into whether you think the Bucks or Bulls are going to cover the given point spread. 

Bucks -9 (-110)

Bulls +9 (-110)

For you to win your bet, the side you bet on has to cover the spread. So, if you bet on the Bucks (-9), Milwaukee would have to win the game by 10 points or more for you to win your point spread bet. If you bet the Bulls (+9), Chicago would have to win the game or loss by 8 points or less for you to win your bet. (A point spread bet that lands exactly on the number is considered a push, which means neither side wins and you get your money back.)

Totals ('Over/Under') NBA Bet 

Over +212.5 (-110)

Under -212.5 (-110)

If you think the Bucks and Bulls will combine to score less than 212 points combined, you can bet on the 'Under' total. On the flipside, if you think the Bucks and Bulls will go 'Over' the total, both teams would have to score more than 212 points for you to win your Over/Under bet. 

(Based in South Florida, I would be happy to answer all your questions and discuss how I can be of help to you.) 

Bet on Texas (-190) to continue 'sweet' run with a win over Xavier

 (2) Xavier vs. (2) Texas (Fri., Mar. 24., approx., 9:45 pm): Texas, -190* moneyline favorites in this spot, beat Colgate and Penn State to advance to the second weekend, while the Musketeers scored wins over Kennesaw State and Pittsburgh to get to Kansas City, Mo. 

For all the 💰 bet in recent days on the Musketeers, I feel Xavier, just okay vs. Kennesaw State after handling an average Pitt squad, is fortunate to be in the Sweet 16. 

Xavier, while capable of scoring in bunches, bets heavily on pushing the ball in an effort to get easy buckets, but the big + athletic Longhorns, right now getting great interior play from Dylan Disu, are a problem - thanks to their ability to force turnovers on 'D'.

Texas, who I've watched plenty of this season, also bets on their ability to play multiple styles of hoops + adjusting on the fly. The Longhorns can slow you down, but are definitely open to pushing the pace, if required. Just go ask the Kansas Jayhawks.

The 'Horns, way off target from 3-pt. land (1-for-13) in their 'W' vs. Penn State, were 🔐 by an opp. out to guard the perimeter from the jump. But bet on the 'Horns to get plenty of open 👁️👁️ from 3 pt. distance vs. the Xavier. 

Sean Miller vs. Rodney Terry, the coaching matchup in this spot, is also of note to me.

Smart bet: Texas men's basketball coach Rodney Terry, who replaced Chris Beard on an 'interim basis' earlier this season, has the Longhorns in the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2008. Photo 📸: University of Texas 🏀

It's no secret why Miller, 5-1 ATS as an underdog in Sweet 16 and Elite Eight games, was shipped out of Arizona - his on-court success aside. Terry, a 🏀-lifer on a dream run since taking over for Chris Beard earlier this season, is still fighting off the 'interim tag' despite the 'Horns being two wins from the Final Four. It's a heavy price to pay, but I'm betting his joy ride continues vs. Xavier. 

Bet: Texas -190 (*✓ your sportsbook of choice for updated moneylines, odds, etc.)

Based in South Florida, I have covered sports for a host of local and national platforms in over two decades. Betting Brent Musburger I could eat more hot dogs than him while at a college football game at the Orange Bowl was profitable, but finding winners is truly my best bet. While MLB has always been my primary sport of focus, I have no issues betting on my knowledge when it comes to the NBA, NHL, NCAAF and NCAAM. 

Gifted with A+ sports intuition and acumen, I bet on my work to find profitable angles and edges for you, before creating what I feel is valuable content in this space. Excited about the present and future of legalized sports betting, I enjoy educating and motivating those who are serious about the bet game, not just looking for a 'free ride' to the cash window. I also have plenty of marketing + advertising juice, so you can DM or email me with any bet, adv. questions, comments or professional inquiries. Thanks for reading, and please bet responsibly. 

Betting ⚾: How To Bet On MLB Moneylines, Run Lines & Run Totals

Peanuts, cold beer, and moneyline odds. 

That's right, baseball bettors! With the 2023 Major League Baseball season set to begin on March 30 and (potentially) offering full 162-schedules for all 30 teams, there are plenty of betting opportunities for baseball bettors, no matter their skill level. 

And while betting on Major League Baseball may require some math skills, placing bets on money lines, run lines and run totals on individual games is not very complicated and/or difficult to understand. 

Here now is a 'How To Bet On Major League Baseball' using moneyline, run line and run total bet samples. 

(Note: With legalized sports betting available in a number of states and a potential for 4,860 regular season games, MLB bettors have plenty of betting opportunities in front of them when the season starts on March 30.

Please bet responsibly and choose wisely when picking a sportsbook to bet with.)

MLB Moneyline Bet 

MLB betting resolves, for the most part, on the odds for a given team to win, also known as the moneyline. A moneyline bet also centers on a $100 wager. For example, let's suppose the Mets -- Justin Verlander on the mound -- are (-200) favorites on the moneyline over the underdog Marlins. If you bet on the Mets, that means you would have to risk $200 for every $100 you're looking to win. If you bet on the Marlins (+200), the moneyline underdog in this spot, you would have to risk $100 for every $200 you want to win. Moneylines vary depending on the teams, starting pitchers, lineups, etc. So, keeping tabs on injuries, lineup changes and starting pitchers is strongly suggested, if you are serious about winning your moneyline bets. 

MLB Run Line Bet

MLB also adds a point spread, also known as a run line. Using the sample above, again, let's say the Mets are (-1.5, -150) run line favorites over the Marlins. If you bet New York to win on the run line, the Mets would not only have to win the game straight up, but defeat the Marlins by at least two runs. A bet on the Marlins, let's suppose at (+1.5, +145), would mean Miami would have to win the game straight up, or lose by no more than one run for you to win your run line bet. While it may seem more difficult to win this type of bet, it offers all MLB bettors a more economical price - than the money line, which can require you pay a hefty price on occasion. Especially, when betting on big favorites (Mets at -200, etc.)

MLB Total Bet

Similar to other sports, MLB bettors have the option of betting on a 'Total', which is the 'total runs scored' in a game. For example, let's say the 'Total' for the Mets-Marlins game is 8.5. If you bet the 'Total' to go over, the Mets and Marlins would have to score nine runs (combined) for you to win your bet. If you think the 'Total' will stay under 8.5 runs, both teams would have to score eight runs or less (combined) for you to win your MLB 'Total' Bet. (Please check your favorite sportsbook for updated odds, etc.)

Down the line: A moneyline bet is just one of many options available for bettors looking to bet on Major League Baseball. 

Mad about March: How To Bet College Basketball (🏀 Using Pitt vs. Mississippi St. Play-In Game As A Sample 🏀)

(Note: If you know zero about men's college basketball, wanting to bet on the NCAA Tournament, while very tempting for all type of bettors this time of year, is like betting Zach Edey that you can dunk over him. 😁 😁 😁.)

Otherwise, all the betting action on the hardwood is about to reach a different level as the start of the NCAA Tournament offers plenty of games to bet on -- starting Tuesday night with two play-in games (SE Missouri State vs. Texas A&M-CC, Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi State). 

Here is a quick rundown (using Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi State as a sample down below) of three simple bets you can make on any college basketball game, including the still-popular point spread bet. (With legal sports betting now available in a number of states, you can create an account with sportsbooks such as DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM, among others. Select the sportsbook you feel most comfortable with, and bet responsibly.) 

College Basketball Point Spread Bet

The point spread bet offers bettors a chance to bet on a college basketball team to 'cover the spread' at around even money on most occasions. If Mississippi State, let's say, is favored by 3 points over Pittsburgh, that would mean the Bulldogs would have to beat the Panthers by at least 4 points for those betting on MSU to cash their bets. The underdog Panthers, meanwhile, would just have to stay within 2 points of Mississippi State for its bettors to cash their bets. 

(The favorite is listed with a ➖ sign before the point spread, while the underdog has a + sign next to it's name. A vig (juice price) is determined by your sportsbook of choice.)

College Basketball Moneyline Bet

A moneyline bet requires a team to win a game straight up. For example, the underdog Panthers are currently priced at/or around (+118) at a variety of sportsbooks. If you bet the Panthers to beat the Bulldogs, you would have to risk $100 to win a total of $218 ($118 profit per every $100). A moneyline bet on Mississippi State (-140) would require you risk $140 to win $100 ($100 profit per every $140 bet on the Bulldogs). 

Slam dunk: A $100 moneyline bet tonight on the Pittsburgh Panthers (+118) would would return any college basketball bettor a total of $218 (with a profit of $118).  

College Basketball Point Total (O/U) Bet 

The point total, simply known as the Over/Under, is a relatively easy bet to make when it comes to college basketball, in this case, as sportsbooks set a line of points projected to be scored in a given game.

For example, if the Over/Under point total for Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi State is 133 those betting the 'Over' would need both teams to score a combined total of 134 points to cash their respective bets. Bettors looking for a defensive struggle would need both teams to combine for 132 points or less to cash their bets at the window. (Note: Like the point spread, the odds for Over/Under bets are routinely set at (-110), whether you bet a game to go Over or Under the total.

(Check your favorite sportsbook for updated college basketball odds, point spreads, moneylines, etc.)

Drinking Water 101: 5 Tips on Why Drinking Water Is Important

Drinking water is key when you're thirsty, hungry, and after exercising. But drinking water is not only important to staying hydrated, but to your overall health. 

Here are 5 reasons why you should be drinking plenty of water, no matter what.

💦Your brain is made up of a lot of water. Not drinking enough water can make it harder for you to focus and effect your mood. Lack of water can also trigger brain pain and lead to severe headaches. Therefore, drinking the right amount of water will keep you focused.

💦 Drinking water with a meal helps your digestion. Water is a big part of saliva, which breaks down food into smaller pieces. Once the food is in your stomach, the water helps the digestive enzymes break it down more.

💦 Drinking plenty of water throughout the day, and not pounding those water bottles before going to bed is important. Why? Drinking a lot of water before bedtime can lead to unwanted trips to bathroom. 

💦 Just like your body needs water to make blood and saliva, drinking plenty of water keeps your joints lubricated and functional when you're on your daily routine.

💦 Drinking water plays an important role in keeping your weight in check, if not boost your metabolic rate and help you burn calories. If you're trying to lose weight, drinking water before eating will help by filling your stomach and leaving less room for food. 

'UNDER' in Hollywood: Bet on 2023 L.A. Dodgers to fall short of 95.5-win total O/U

Do you think the Dodgers can win more or less than 96 games in 2023?

Despite breezing to a MLB-best 111 regular season wins to go OVER a 97-win total over/under, the Dodgers were sent packing for the offseason after dropping the 2022 NLDS to the San Diego Padres. 

Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, a top-notch pitching rotation, and a strong crop of young players are still around. J.D. Martinez, Miguel Rojas and Noah Syndergaard were added over the winter.

Trea Turner, Justin Turner, and Cody Bellinger, all key contributors in recent years, are gone. Walker Buhler (elbow surgery) and Gavin Lux (torn ACL) are out for all of 2023. 

Yet, the Dodgers, expected to challenge for another World Series berth, are listed at a 95.5-win total over/under at a host of US sportsbooks. MLB regular season win totals, released last month by US sportsbooks, can be a profitable market to pursue for baseball bettors looking for a solid return on investment. 

Do you think the Dodgers can go OVER 95.5 wins in 2023. Here is more on my best MLB UNDER bet to make before the start of the regular season. (Check your favorite sportsbook for updated MLB win totals, odds, etc.)

Los Angeles Dodgers U95.5 (+105)

The Dodgers, a popular bet to make the 2023 World Series, are counting on Rojas and Syndergaard, in part, to fill the holes left by  big injuries to Lux and Buhler. 

Martinez, who reportedly wanted to retire as a Red Sox, is being bet on to pick up some of the offensive slack alongside Betts and Freeman, while Max Muncy and Chris Taylor look to rebound from down years. I'm not betting on any of it.

Clayton Kershaw's health aside, the Dodgers, to me, have the feel of a team trusting a lot of players who could be way past their prime (namely Martinez, Rojas, and Syndergaard) while banking on good players (Muncy, Taylor, and Will Smith) to play above said expectations.

Julio Urias and Dustin May will give L.A. a chance on most nights, but getting positive results, or wins, when the rotation turns to Syndergaard and Kershaw is definitely no guarantee. 

The lost of both Andrew Heaney and Tyler Anderson could also hamper the pitching depth at some point in 2023.

Lastly, the NL West, featuring the loaded Padres (Xander Bogaerts), retooled Giants (Sean Manaea, Mitch Haniger, Michael Conforto), and upstart D'Backs, is no cake. Although, the Dodgers, thanks to the reworked schedule allowing for just 13 games vs. divisional opponents, will see less of the NL West this season.

Still, I am not sold on the bottom of the Dodgers' lineup and their middle infield, especially with Lux out for 2023. I've also seen plenty of Rojas, a standout for years on a bottom-tier Marlins team, to know better.

(UNDER 95.5 wins is my bet on the 2023 Los Angeles Dodgers).

Bet on it: Cubs to make Wrigley Field fun again, go OVER 77.5 wins in 2023

I'm excited about the 2023 Chicago Cubs, who added SS Dansby Swanson in the offseason, moved young star Nico Hoerner to 2B, and will start the regular season with a very good pitching staff  (Marcus Stroman, Justin Steele, Drew Smyly, Kyle Hendricks and Jameson Taillon). I'm so excited, I would bet the Cubs go (OVER) 77.5 wins this year.

MLB regular season win totals, most of which were released last month by a host of sportsbooks, can be a profitable market to delve into for baseball bettors looking for a solid return on investment.

Here is my best MLB o/u bet to make before the start of the regular season. 

Chicago Cubs OVER 77.5 Wins (-110)

Perhaps, I'm missing out on something but the Cubs' win total seems a bit low.

Despite not being too competitive in 2022, or trying to be, the Cubs finished  74-88, and went OVER 73.5 total wins.Now, they're listed at O/U 77.5 wins for 2023 at a majority of US sportsbooks, including BetMGM.

I'm betting OVER.

Swanson, an MVP-type player, is a marked upgrade at SS, and a good bet to put up lofty stats at Wrigley Field, while Hoerner, moving to 2B, is a young star. Together, they form a lethal leather duel up the middle.

C Tucker Barnhardt and 1B Eric Hosmer, both Gold Glove winners, add even more defense to what could turn into one of the elite infields in all of the big leagues. 

Especially with the no-shift rule now in play. 

Chicago also bought low on OF/1B Cody Bellinger and OF/1B Trey Mancini, two former All-Stars who, in a pinch, can play multiple positions. Bellinger, discarded by the Dodgers, and Mancini, who has logged a few flier miles since beating the odds in Baltimore, are out for big deals, and arrive with built-in storylines around them.

Yet, it's Chicago's pitching staff, featuring Stroman, Steele and Smyly at the top of the rotation, which makes the Cubs a serious threat to win the NL Central. Add Hendricks and Taillon, and the 'W's' will be flying high at Wrigley Field. 

The pitching depth, especially in the bullpen, is cause for concern, but there's always a chance the Cubs, if hanging in what appears to be a soft NL Central or vying for a Wild Card spot, make a move as they get closer to the trade deadline. 

The Cardinals, favorites at most sportsbooks to win the division, have legit questions outside of their collection of young arms, Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt, while the Brewers look to be a little light on offense these days. The Reds and Pirates, both coming off 62-100 tabs in 2022, are non-factors for the time being. All told, it makes the Cubs a smart bet to go OVER 77.5 wins. If not, to win the NL Central in 2023.

Fly 'OVER' with the Cubs: Bet on Chicago to win 74 games, at least, in 2023.

  

(Please check your favorite sportsbooks for a full list of MLB over/under win totals, updated odds, etc. Please bet responsibly and thank you for reading.)

NBA Road 'Dog Alert: Bulls (+4.5) at Raptors

It's the Bulls vs. Raptors (-4.5) in a key Eastern Conference matchup tonight at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Canada. 

The Bulls (28-33), on a modest two-game winning streak after dropping six in a row earlier in February, are starting to click on defense, especially with the addition of Patrick Beverley, who was signed during the All-Star break. With Beverley, Chicago has allowed a combined 170 points in wins over Brooklyn and Washington, after giving up 100 or more points in seven of eight games before the break.

The Bulls, currently 11th in the Eastern Conference and 1.5 games behind Toronto in the standings, are starting to roundup as a solid defensive squad. DeMar DeRozan, who scored 29 points on 11-of-15 from the floor vs. Washington, also continues to find his spots on the floor. 

While just 10-20 on the road, Chicago, 4-6 straight up in their last 10 games, will be playing their third game in five nights, but with the 7-10 seeds in each conference making the play-in tournament, this is a good spot for the Bulls to make up ground. 

Toronto (30-32), coming off a road loss at Cleveland, will be in action for the third time in four nights. The Raptors are 7-3 in their last 10 games, but six of those wins came against Houston, San Antonio, Orlando, New Orleans and Detroit. 

The Raptors are 19-13 at home, including a win over the Bulls inside Scotiabank Arena.  

But that was in early-November on the front-end of a home-and-home vs. Chicago. While the season series sits at 1-1, it's been over three months since these two teams have met on the basketball court.

However, even with the Raptors recent success, I feel the Bulls are starting to turn the corner at just the right time. The addition of Beverley also gives Chicago a different feel on defense, which will force the Raptors into plenty of tough shots, if not create easy buckets on the opposite end. While not entirely sold on the Raptors, I'm definitely buying what the Bulls are doing right now.

My Bet: Bulls +4.5 

On a roll: The Bulls (+4.5), on a two-game winning streak since the All-Star break, are a live 'dog at Toronto on Tuesday night. Photo: Getty 📸

Trophy case, MLB longshots: Flier bets on Manaea (80-1, NL Cy Young Award), Devers (20-1, AL MVP Award) worth a look before start of 2023 season

Sean Manaea, who signed a two-year, $25 million deal with the San Francisco Giants this offseason, is 80-1 at BetMGM to win the 2023 National League Cy Young Award. Red Sox star Rafael Devers is a 'modest' 20-1 to win the 2023 American League MVP Award.

I think both of them are worth longshot bets. Here's why. (Please bet responsibly and do it with a legitimate and licensed operator. Check out your favorite sportsbook for updated odds, etc.)

SEAN MANAEA (80-1 @ BetMGM) to win 2023 National League Cy Young Award 

I think the 2023 San Francisco Giants will not only hang tight with the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West, but make the playoffs this season. 

My long-term projection also includes left-handed starter Sean Manaea, a 80-1 longshot at BetMGM to win the 2023 National League Cy Young Award, emerging as a top-tier contributor in the Giants' pitching rotation. 

With a 58-50 record and 4.06 ERA in seven MLB seasons, the 31-year-old Manaea, signed to a two-year, $25 million this offseason, and currently slotted behind Logan Webb and Alex Cobb, has proven to be durable and effective throughout his career.

Despite logging over 820 big league innings, Manaea, who made 30 appearances for the Padres last season, has already shown an increase in velocity, including getting to 93-96 mph while striking out two over two innings in his spring debut vs. the Reds.

While he still goes to his fastball a high percentage of the time, which could be a cause for concern for a pitcher advancing in age, Manaea also features a devastating changeup, which could come in quite handy when facing the likes of the Dodgers and Padres lineups - both very patient at the plate. 

I also like that Manaea is fresh off an extended look of the NL West after his time with the Padres, in addition to Cobb being often injured. 

All considered, Manaea is my pick (bet) to win the 2023 National League Cy Young Award.

RAFAEL DEVERS (20-1 @ BetMGM) to win 2023 American League MVP Award 

With plenty of betting love at various sportsbooks going to favorites such as Aaron Judge, Mike Trout and Shohei Otani, Boston Red Sox' 3B Rafael Devers definitely offers plenty of value as a potential 2023 American League MVP Award winner.

Fresh off signing an 11-year, $313.5 million deal in January, Devers, 26, could be in prime position to challenge Judge, Otani and Trout, after a Top-15 finish for the same award in 2022. 

While not much is expected of the Red Sox this season, I expect Boston to contend all summer and Devers to carry much of the load on a team with plenty of questions. 

I'm also not convinced Judge, who also signed a huge contract this offseason, can repeat what he did in 2022. After I bet Otani and Trout, both with a history of elongated injuries, will cancel each other out. 

Even, if both stay healthy and the Angels contend. 

So, go get a hefty price right now on Rafael Devers to win the 2023 American League MVP Award. 

(Note: Shop around for better odds!) 

Big swing: Winning a bet on Red Sox 3B Rafael Devers at 20/25-1 to win the 2023 American League MVP Award would return a hefty profit for any bettor .