Monday, February 27, 2023

Trophy case, MLB longshots: Flier bets on Manaea (80-1, NL Cy Young Award), Devers (20-1, AL MVP Award) worth a look before start of 2023 season

Sean Manaea, who signed a two-year, $25 million deal with the San Francisco Giants this offseason, is 80-1 at BetMGM to win the 2023 National League Cy Young Award. Red Sox star Rafael Devers is a 'modest' 20-1 to win the 2023 American League MVP Award.

I think both of them are worth longshot bets. Here's why. (Please bet responsibly and do it with a legitimate and licensed operator. Check out your favorite sportsbook for updated odds, etc.)

SEAN MANAEA (80-1 @ BetMGM) to win 2023 National League Cy Young Award 

I think the 2023 San Francisco Giants will not only hang tight with the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West, but make the playoffs this season. 

My long-term projection also includes left-handed starter Sean Manaea, a 80-1 longshot at BetMGM to win the 2023 National League Cy Young Award, emerging as a top-tier contributor in the Giants' pitching rotation. 

With a 58-50 record and 4.06 ERA in seven MLB seasons, the 31-year-old Manaea, signed to a two-year, $25 million this offseason, and currently slotted behind Logan Webb and Alex Cobb, has proven to be durable and effective throughout his career.

Despite logging over 820 big league innings, Manaea, who made 30 appearances for the Padres last season, has already shown an increase in velocity, including getting to 93-96 mph while striking out two over two innings in his spring debut vs. the Reds.

While he still goes to his fastball a high percentage of the time, which could be a cause for concern for a pitcher advancing in age, Manaea also features a devastating changeup, which could come in quite handy when facing the likes of the Dodgers and Padres lineups - both very patient at the plate. 

I also like that Manaea is fresh off an extended look of the NL West after his time with the Padres, in addition to Cobb being often injured. 

All considered, Manaea is my pick (bet) to win the 2023 National League Cy Young Award.

RAFAEL DEVERS (20-1 @ BetMGM) to win 2023 American League MVP Award 

With plenty of betting love at various sportsbooks going to favorites such as Aaron Judge, Mike Trout and Shohei Otani, Boston Red Sox' 3B Rafael Devers definitely offers plenty of value as a potential 2023 American League MVP Award winner.

Fresh off signing an 11-year, $313.5 million deal in January, Devers, 26, could be in prime position to challenge Judge, Otani and Trout, after a Top-15 finish for the same award in 2022. 

While not much is expected of the Red Sox this season, I expect Boston to contend all summer and Devers to carry much of the load on a team with plenty of questions. 

I'm also not convinced Judge, who also signed a huge contract this offseason, can repeat what he did in 2022. After I bet Otani and Trout, both with a history of elongated injuries, will cancel each other out. 

Even, if both stay healthy and the Angels contend. 

So, go get a hefty price right now on Rafael Devers to win the 2023 American League MVP Award. 

(Note: Shop around for better odds!) 

Big swing: Winning a bet on Red Sox 3B Rafael Devers at 20/25-1 to win the 2023 American League MVP Award would return a hefty profit for any bettor .

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