Friday, January 20, 2023

NFL Divisional Round Playoffs Betting Strategy101: The Bills (-5.5) and Cowboys (+3.5) appear to be as popular as Cuban sandwiches are all over Miami

Free Cuban sandwiches for everyone!

That might have been the first thing on your mind, if you're from Miami and went 5-0 in NFL bets on Wild Card Weekend, thanks to the 49ers (-9.5), Jags (+1.5), Dolphins (+13), Ravens (+8.5) and Cowboys (-2.5) finding their way to the betting cash window.

For the record, I like buying my own Cuban sandwiches, and keeping my NFL betting strategy real tight, but for those keeping track of my work around here, that's a perfect 5-0 against the spread to move to 31-14-1 overall on the entire NFL season. 

Not too bad for a Cuban kid from Miami, and one far from a seat behind the desk at Daily Wager or personally handing a Cuban sandwich to Erin Dolan.

But, since I don't give out bets for free nothing anymore, unless you hire me for marketing copy work, sports betting industry initiatives or any other type thing, I've decided to turn this week's look at the NFL playoff betting action into a Bet 101. 

That's right. 

If you don't know what being an NFL 'Road Underdog' means, then this exercise, in which I'm going to use this weekend's four NFL playoff games, might be as valuable to you as Cuban sandwiches (with extra pickles and mustard) are for me. 

But, stick around here even if you're a sharp ready to pounce on a line, and not a rookie NFL bettor, because you might find value in the betting content below, which you can apply to your NFL betting strategy, soon.

Let's eat, Cuban sandwiches!

Jags @ Chiefs (-8.5): 

The first of four NFL playoff games this weekend, features the Jags heading to Kansas City with hopes of knocking out the AFC's No. 1 seed. 

Think the Jags can pull off what would be the biggest upset of the weekend, a week after a wild comeback win vs. the Chargers? 

If so, you like the 'road underdog ' Jags, who would have to beat Kansas City straight up or lose by exactly 8 points or less for you to cash your bet. Cuban sandwiches on you, if the Jags win.

(Note: Jacksonville will be playing their second game in less than a week, while KC has been idle for almost two weeks.)

Giants @ Eagles (-7.5): 

Scoring a winning bet with the road underdog Giants in this spot would be like expecting one Cuban sandwich, but having an Amazon truck driver show up with 150 Cuban sandwiches.

Like the gift that keeps on giving, Saturday night's NFL playoff game is a prime spot to bet the longshot Giants, especially if you've been riding the NFC's No. 6 seed for weeks now.

 The Giants, with big money prospect Daniel Jones leading the offense, are beginning to feel like 'Destiny' is calling, while the Eagles appear to be a very inflated No. 1 seed.

Bengals @ Bills (-5.5): 

Want your Cuban sandwich from an old reliable in Miami, instead of taking a shot with a new shop on Calle Ocho? 

You're probably sold on the home favorite Bills, for weeks America's public darlings, including here as solid chalk to beat the Bengals and advance to the AFC championship game. 

Kind of like handing me a free Cuban sandwich, some advanced bettors might feel as if the NFL has been doing the Bills a favor for a while. (Check out their schedule!!) 

Cowboys @ 49ers (-3.5): 

If you think what the Cowboys did as road favorites vs. the Bucs was more indicative of an uber-talented team playing the (almost) perfect game, not showing off against a below-average Tampa Bay squad, than you're probably thinking about betting the Cowboys as 'Live Dogs'. 

You know the team that could just pull off a straight up win, despite plenty of bettors thinking SF ?

But, be careful because this spread (line) could be reflective of just how popular the Cowboys, whether they're being bet on or not, are with the general public. 

So, a Cowboys fan who might not know anything about betting on NFL games might jump at the chance of betting on Dallas at (+3.5) because it might look incredibly appealing. 

But, an NFL bettor looking to bet on the 49ers might be thinking (-3.5) offers plenty of value on San Francisco as a small home favorite, because public money on Dallas has made a bet the other way just too good to pass up.

Good luck and please bet responsibly.

#nflplayoffs #betting #101 #miami #cubansandwich #bet #cowboys #49ers #bets #jags #bills #bengals #chiefs 

(I have been watching and writing about everything, including Cuban sandwiches and sports (betting), since before making legal bets became a thing. Follow me at miami_by_fernie on Instagram and let's connect. I would be glad to answer any questions for you.)





Thursday, January 19, 2023

Marlins FanFest: A Warm Up For The 2023 Season

Warm up to the Miami Marlins for the first time in 2023 at Marlins FanFest on Saturday, February 11th, from 3-7 PM at loanDepot Park (501 Marlins Way).


Off the hook: Warm up for the 2023 season with Marlins FanFest on Saturday, February 11th, from 3-7 PM at loanDepot Park. 

Marlins FanFest 2023 is a chance for fans to interact with Marlins players, take photos with the 1997 and 2003 World Series Trophies, and for kids to swing away inside a Mini Home Run Derby Field, if not flip out inside Billy's Boathouse themed playground.

Marlins FanFest 2023, a free admission with complimentary parking event, will also feature adult-friendly events, BeerFest (inside Recess Sports Lounge from 1-3 PM) and Food & Wine (on the Legends Level from 3-5 PM). 

Here is more of what you will be able to do at Marlins FanFest 2023: 

🐟 Meet & Greet Marlins Players:

You probably won't be dancing merengue with Jean Segura in the West Plaza, but there's a chance you will be able to give Segura, one of our new fish in town, una buena bienvenida to the 305 -- y en Spanish.

🐟 Dance to live music in the West Plaza: 

Wanna shake off the 30 croquetas you just had for lunch, after listening to Sandy AlcΓ‘ntara talk dirty about the Mets? Do it at the West Plaza, where you will be able to sweat to live music, and dream about how many K's Sandy will have on Opening Day.

🐟 Your kids flippin' at Billy's Boathouse:

Watch the kids sink and swim inside Billy's Boathouse, a themed playground not only likely to get the kids ready for all the hits and spills of the 2023 Marlins season, but the reason they're out cold on the drive home.

🐟 Take a tour of the Marlins Clubhouse:

Wanna hang where the Marlins players do when inside loan depot Park and not getting dirty running around the bases? Go for a tour of the Marlins Clubhouse, where you will be so close to Jazz's razor you can smell the scent off his blue hair. 

🐟 Enjoy 🍺 and 🍷 responsibly: 

Done trying to hit a 30-mile-an-hour pitch in front of your date while inside the batting cage, and want to cool off with an 'adult' beverage? BeerFest (inside Recess Sports Lounge from 1-3 p.m.) and Food & Wine (on the Legends Level from 3-5 p.m.) will have all the beverages and food you need )

( *NOTE: Both events require paid entry and proof of age.)

Visit https:// www.marlins.com/FanFest to register and more information on Marlins FanFest 2023. 

#marlins #fanfest #2023 #1993 #miami #305 #makeitmiami #beerfest #food #wine #loandepotpark 

Friday, January 13, 2023

Wild Card Bets: 3 NFL Betting Terms To know Before The Start Of The NFL Playoffs

Whether a beginner in need of extra pizza sauce or a sharp ready to swing for the fences, if not barred from every sportsbook in Las Vegas, Wild Card Weekend attracts bettors of all levels. 

Here are 3 Fun Betting Terms To know Before The Start Of The NFL Playoffs:

Bad Beat: Imagine being so mesmerized by Tom Brady's kale diet, and avocado ice cream, you bet the Bucs (+2.5) to beat the Cowboys on Monday night.

And with the Bucs up 24-20 with :45 seconds left in the game, and the Cowboys out of timeouts, you're feeling so good about your bet, you serve yourself some more raw tofu and order seven pounds of TB 12's raw spinach. 

After calling your girlfriend to tell her to book a 21-day trip to Cabo San Lucas,  because you just won a $12,500 bet. 

But right before you're about to start licking all that grossness of your spoon, Tommy slips on one knee, fumbles the football at the 45-yard-line and watches Micah Parsons pick it up, and return it for a game-winning TD as time runs out. 

If so, you go from a winner to a loser in a matter of seconds. And your girlfriend goes to Cabo San Lucas without you.

That my friend is a 'Bad Beat' ! 

Longshot: 

You still carry the folded napkin Jason Taylor signed for you inside a men's bathroom during the summer of 1999 at Miami International Airport in your ripper wallet. 

You also just turned 45 and think the Dolphins are going to win the Super Bowl this year. 

That's why, you have an appointment with a brain specialist next Tuesday, but are still sold on betting the Dolphins to win it all at (fill in the longshot odds) here. 

(Example: Say you bet $1000 at 100/1 on the Dolphins to win the Super Bowl. You're looking at a cool $100,000 payday.)

And if for some odd reason, Skylar Thompson turns into 26-year-old Dan Marino tomorrow, Josh Allen is held hostage until February 13th, and the Dolphins win four straight games, starting with what would be a massive upset vs. the Bills on Sunday afternoon, you win your 'Longshot' bet on Miami.

And also win the chance to buy your mother-in-law Cuban sandwiches for the rest of her life. If you so desire.

Live 'Dog: 

Let's say you don't care much for the narrative being built around the Ravens, not only going into Cincinnati as (+9.5) road underdogs, but without star QB Lamar Jackson. 

You too think Joe Dixon is a clueless loudmouth, and believe the Ravens defense can cause serious problems for Joe Burrow and the rest of the Bengals offense, while maybe even creating a turnover or two on Sunday night. 

After determining the Ravens, capable of running the ball effectively to shorten the game to the point Burrow starts crying on the sidelines, can beat Cincinnati without Jackson, in what would be one of the biggest upsets of the weekend.

That's a 'Live Dog', mi amigos !! 




Wild 'Dogs: What NFL Road Underdog Has The Best Chance To Pull Off An Upset on Wild Card Weekend: Seahawks, Dolphins or Ravens?

The Seahawks (+9.5), Dolphins (+13.5) and Ravens (+9.5) are all significant road underdogs entering Wild Card Weekend.

But which of the three teams, if any, has a chance to upset the cards? 

Dolphins @ Bills (-13.5): Sounds like the grill has already been greased up for the Dolphins, starting a rookie QB (in place of Tua Tagovailoa), and banged up at several other key positions, while the Bills, a huge home favorite in this spot, carry all the momentum of a very-inspired team destined for Arizona. 

But be careful with betting the Bills to cover all those points. That's after you go read up on your NFL history! 

Stay away from this game!!!

If would not shock if ... 

Ravens @ Bengals (-9.5): Another spot where it just seems to good to be true.

For all the Lamar Jackson drama, the Ravens defense has the goods to create serious problems for Joe Burrow, while relying on their running game to shorten things up on offense. 

Another thing: Burrow has been relatively quiet this week. It's been another Joe (Dixon) doing a lot of talking on behalf of the Bengals. These games also tend to be very close. I expect another one.

Seahawks @ 49ers (-9.5): 

This is where my hope for the road 'dogs comes to a sudden halt. While I expect Seattle to cause some problems for Brock Purdy, who is making his first career playoff start, I really fear for Geno Smith's safety.

I see a low-scoring game with the 49ers having their way all day.

Wild Cards: 5 NFL QBs with plenty to gain - or lose - on Wild Card Weekend

The NFL Playoffs are here, and a lot of quarterbacks making their first career postseason starts have plenty to gain - or lose.

Here are my Top 5 QBs with the most to gain -or lose - on Wild Card Weekend. 

1.) Daniel Jones: So, what if Danny talks less than your favorite subway conductor does on the way to Times Square each morning? 

After years of being treated like a second class citizen by most Giants fans, all Jones has done this season is throw for over 3,000 yards, if not run for the hills when needed. 

Jones, a big reason why the Giants are 7-1 against the spread on the road, has perfected the art of play-action passes and could send the Vikings packing with a big performance.

Jones staring at a multi-year deal in the off-season, no matter what happens on Sunday.

2.) Justin Herbert: If not now, then when for the oftentimes cuddled, former first-rounder out of Oregon? 

This is the perfect time for the Chargers to give Herbert, making his first career playoff start, mind you, the chance to let it fly, and not restrict their entire offense to six yards at a time. 

That's if, the Chargers, an organization for years short on quarterback stardom, are really serious about Herbert being a star.

Not just another blonde quarterback forever swaying to the beat of the waves. 

In order to do so, Herbert should look for Keenan Allen a lot on Saturday night, since it's likely to take 30+ points to get out of Jacksonville with a playoff win. 

Especially with Trevor Lawrence on the other side.

3.) Brock Purdy: Purdy, the lowest-drafted rookie quarterback to start a playoff game, has more than enough toys on offense to guide the 49ers into the Super Bowl.

However, beating the Dolphins in November is not the same as trying to get away from Micah Parsons in January. 

It's a cute story, and one cut for Disney, but Purdy will eventually have to make a big throw at some point in these playoffs.

Is he capable of doing just that? 

4.) Trevor Lawrence:  The clock is also ticking for Lawrence, making his first playoff start. 

For all his success down the stretch, Lawrence has five turnovers in his past four games. 

A bit to reckless at times, is he capable of just doing enough to help the Jaguars get past the Chargers? 

Lawrence, still a huge part of the Jaguars future plans, win or lose on Saturday night, isn't under a lot of organizational pressure, let's say, but a big outing vs the Chargers would likely get him a few more commercials!

5.) Geno Smith: Another incredible story! 

I'm just not sure how many NFL teams are going to run to give a 32-year-old a big bag of πŸ’°?










Tuesday, January 10, 2023

'Wild Card' Underdogs: NFL Playoffs Betting (101) using Jaguars, Dolphins & Buccaneers

Not only do you root for a Florida-based NFL team such as the Jaguars, Dolphins or Buccaneers, you're charged up for whenever sports betting is legalized in Florida.

But you're ready to bet now on the NFL Playoffs Super Wild Card Weekend and not waiting around for some politicos in Tallahassee. If so, here is a short 3-Game, NFL Betting (101) Primer (using the playoff-bound Jags, Dolphins and Bucs as examples).

(Note: Check out your favorite sportsbook site for updated spreads, moneyline odds and other type bets for the NFL's Super Wild Card Weekend. 

Please bet responsibly and contact The National Council of Problem Gambling at 1-800-522-4700, if you or anyone you know has a gambling problem.)

Chargers (-1.5) @ Jaguars: Its been so long since the Jaguars were NFL anything, you think your father is making reservations to his favorite buffet spot each time you hear him say 'Mark Brunell'. 

You also own (16) Trevor Lawrence Wawa Night Wigs and are ready to bet on the 'home underdog' Jags, playing in their (home stadium and getting points) in this spot vs. a Chargers team traveling across the country. 

If so, the Jaguars must (1) defeat the Chargers or (2) lose by one point for you to win your against the spread bet on the home underdog Jaguars in what is expected to be a close game on NFL Playoffs Super Wild Card Weekend. 

Dolphins @ Bills (-11):  You're so excited about the Dolphins making the NFL Playoffs for the first time since Pitbull was cool, you just ordered another Skyler Thompson jersey.

You're also convinced the Dolphins, who lost as (-7) road underdogs just several weeks ago in Buffalo, despite covering the spread, can hang with the Bills. 

You also believe Dan Marino can jump out of a window, land on his feet and throw a touchdown pass -- this very second. 

In that case, you're going to ignore the fact your favorite NFL head coach looks like a computer creeper and bet the Dolphins (+11), who must defeat the Bills or lose by 10 points or less for you to win your bet on the road underdogs in this spot. Dale! 

Cowboys (-3) @ Bucs: You sleep with a sword in your mouth and have spent $865.17 in TB 12 merchandise since 2020, the same year you cancelled your Netflix to replace it with a fitted cap and kale diet package signed by the G.O.A.T., because you want to look and feel like Tom Brady. 

You're also convinced it was all Gisele's fault and that the home underdog Bucs (+3) can't possibly lose at home to the Cowboys, so you want to place a bet on Tampa Bay. 

That means the Bucs must beat the Cowboys straight up or lose by two points or less for you to win your bet on the home underdog in this spot.

(Sidenote: If the Cowboys win 20-17, Gisele keeps the house in Miami and you get your money back, assuming the spread is +3 when you place your bet on the home underdog Bucs.)

(Like my work on here? It would be great to hear from you. I'm open to all comments, suggestions and thoughts. Thanks for your time and support around here.)







Monday, January 9, 2023

Vibrant, Intense & Seductive: The (2023) Miami Open

The Miami Open, one of the most popular events on the tennis tour, will be here before you know it and you can guarantee yourself a front-row seat to all of the intense action by buying your tickets right now!

Hey South Florida ..

Already in the mood to get swept up by the vibrant flair of a multicultural crowd as you delight in the sexiest of cocktails and tropical cuisine, while some of the world's top tennis players smash shots all over the hard courts?

You must be one of the thousands of South Florida tennis aficionados feeling Γ§aliente about buying tickets now for The 2023 Miami Open, the annual, two-week tennis extravaganza, this year taking over Hard Rock Stadium from March 19-April 2. 

That's right! 

Always one of the most anticipated stops on the tennis tour, The Miami Open, captivating fans from all over the world while drawing from it's proximity to Latin America to create a multicultural experience like no other, will be back in South Florida before you know it ..

And it's time you guarantee your seats to all the exhilarating and vibrant action of The 2023 Miami Open.

Because whether it's day or night, The 2023 Miami Open, ready to make you feel the heat with electric DJ spins, smashing shots and world-class culinary options, among other exciting happenings, will definitely have you begging for more.

So, don't dare miss out on one of South Florida's most popular events of the year.

Buy your tickets for The 2023 Miami Open now! 

Just visit https://www.miamiopen.com or call (305) 943-Open for more information.

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