With Miami a difficult watch on offense, no matter how many points Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler and Tyler Herro score on any given night, and Milwaukee dealing with Giannis' wrist injury, 'Under 221.5 Points' looks too good to pass up with Heat vs. Bucks.
Here's why:
For the Heat (32-27), in the bottom half of the Eastern Conference and betting on the recently signed Kevin Love for a much needed offensive boost, it's always a struggle to put the ball in the net.
Only Bam Adebayo (4), Tyler Herro (3) and Jimmy Butler (5) have posted high-scorer tabs over the team's last 12 games.
In fact, you have to go back to January 20 at Dallas (Victor Oladipo, 20 points) to find a high-scorer for the Heat other than Adebayo, Butler or Herro. Oladipo has pretty much been a non-factor since.
While the Heat scored 105 points or more in four of their last five games heading into the all-star break, Miami was a modest 3-2 straight up and, other than in their OT win at Orlando, most of those points came in (very clear) garbage time.
Plain and simple, the Heat just struggle to find a rhythm on offense on most nights.
And I'm betting on that not changing. No matter, what Adebayo, Butler or Herro bring to the scorer's table.
Milwaukee, currently on a 12-game win streak, is a modest 6-5 without Giannis in the lineup this season, including 2-4 in their last six games in said spot. The two wins came against Toronto and Indiana.
The Bucks have other options to carry the load on offense. However, they also give up a lot of points -- with or without Giannis.
But the offensively inept Heat, which at times plays at a very slow pace, is unlikely to take advantage in this spot.
It's also the first game back for both teams after the all-star break.
My Pick: Under 221.5 points
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