Tuesday, September 21, 2021

Bet √: In the 'Books' NFL review

 Pat McAfee, every sports bettor's new favorite ex-NFL punter, and mine, held nothing back while openingly rooting for the Packers to make one final defensive stand (one word punctuation before a passive apology, included) during his appearance on ESPN's MNF' Megacast' hosted by Peyton and Eli Manning. 

 McAfee getting millions of backers, including himself, closer to the cash window on live TV - thanks to a Green Bay (-12) win as a home favorite - was over the top betting content for a league rapidly embracing who slumps on their couch to watch a Lions vs. Packers game on Monday night. And that's enough to start erecting a statue of McAfee outside of every sportsbook in America.

 Eli's astute observation on why a driving offense that draws an opposing defense offsides from their opponent's five-yard-line only picks up 2.5 yards, while getting sent back five yards if they commit a false start infraction (from the same spot), left him wondering "it doesn't seem right." 

 "(It's) .. not exactly a fair bet (to me)," said the Manning with the smaller forehead.

 Little seems fair after two weeks of NFL action - especially if you're an NFL bettor still lamenting the Dolphins getting fried as short home 'dogs; the Cowboys, cashing ATS for the second straight week as a road 'dog and Aaron Rodgers closing the Week 2 books by making sure the home teams playing on TNF and MNF combined improved to a perfect 4-0 straight up this season.

 Let's take a 'Bet ✓' and figure out who is going forward and backwards. Note: All ranks are based on betting value with a given team - in my opinion.)

 1.) Cowboys: Plus depth on both sides of the ball; keep riding them as long as it takes for the market to catch up. And you spot value.

2.) Steelers: See above. You will find plenty of value to spot the Steelers, who will turning into a wrecking crew behind a reworked OL and young star RB before long. Bet on it - especially after a defeat. 

3.) Raiders: Hello .. My name is Derek Carr. A slew of offensive options - even without their customary featured RB. Over the top.

4.) Packers: Remember when .. Aaron Rodgers lost in Week 1? Super Bowl fit, if they can cover a few holes on defense. Pile up on those SU bets.

5.) Bills: Enough pieces to toy with the AFC East. Problem is when they step out of division long- term. Use smart bet acumen to track the Bills lines on a week-to-week basis.

  

Gold standard: Pat McAfee opening rooting for the Packers on ESPN's Monday Night Football 'Megacast' was a straight up winner for a league rapidly embracing the sports betting industry. 

6.) Panthers: Dark horse in the NFC - revamped QB and Top-5 defense included. Plenty of chances to catch value before the market catches up on the Panthers.

7.) Buccaneers: Not a sure bet just because of Tom Brady. Defense = trending down. And you should pounce if you're keeping track.

8.) Chargers: Penalties and an inability to routinely put pressure on the opposing QB just might spoil the greatness of a franchise player in Justin Herbert. 'Under' might be in play for much of the season.

9.) 49ers: A creative two-quarterback system - stretch the creative - that will have to carry the load while ills in the backfield and secondary are being repaired. Holding steady. 

10.) Rams: A work in progress, especially in the middle of their defense, but trending up. Key those @ home 'under' plays.

11-15.) Patriots, Browns, Broncos, Chiefs and Cardinals. 

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