It's November and the leaves are starting to turn in places not named Miami, some of us are getting older, and others, like many NFL bettors for example, are going to be trying to pick every game on the betting board because they're chasing money or want to surprise someone with a new Porsche before Thanksgiving.
Here's a friendly tip: Don't bet every NFL game.
Finding an edge on NFL games - on a weekly basis - requires a lot of time and work. Keep that in the back of your mind when picking NFL games to bet on. My NFL picks, fortunately, are heating up with the dip in the weather (unless you're in Miami right now) as I went 3-1 in the NFL last week, and would have had a clean sweep if not for the late weirdness in Tennessee-Indy.
Here's a Bet √ of the rest of Week 9 NFL slate - after the Colts landed the Jets back to normal grounds on TNF. Note: 21-13-1 with NFL picks, including 5-2 the last two weeks, I was 11-6 I'm November. Take advantage of them now because my FREE NFL picks will not be available for too much longer. In the meantime ..
Remember: Don't bet them all!
Houston @ Miami (46.5 U): A change at QB (Tyrod Taylor) was good enough to believe the Texans, for all their problems on offense, can control some pace to the game, while looking respectable on defense vs. a shaky Miami OL. Throw in possible thunderstorms and we could be in for a sloppy affair at Hard Rock Stadium.
New England @ Carolina (+4): The over/under total - Do your homework, kids - equates to a low-scoring game in this spot with the Patriots facing a rugged Panthers defense a week after a road win vs. the Chargers. Carolina, despite their struggles on offense, are constructed to slow the pace of the game and now have a game-changer in Stephon Gilmore. Bad spot for New England.
Atlanta (+6) @ New Orleans : The Saints are all of a sudden worst at starting QB - no matter who starts vs. the Falcons. And getting almost a touchdown in a divisional game with possible wild card race implications is enough to side with Atlanta a week after losing to Carolina. The Falcons, out Calvin Ridley for a second straight game, have had plenty of practice time without their star WR to scheme enough plays on offense for another of their talented players to take advantage of. Besides, the Braves won the World Series?!
Chicago @ Pittsburgh ML: The Steelers, left for dead just a couple of weeks ago, are humming on defense and improving along the offensive line as they welcome a Bears team light on points production. The consensus among many of the pundits is that Pittsburgh is still a flaud living on borrowed time. The reality: The Steelers were my pick to win the AFC title.
Buffalo @ Jacksonville (48.5U): What do you get when you put the worst team vs. the best defense in the league on the same football field? A slow, low-scoring game thanks to the Jags coming off a bye week and Buffalo, for all their success, still struggling to find the gas pedal on offense - especially when they play outside the AFC East.
Green Bay @ Kansas City (48U): Upset alert .. which translates into a serious look at the under total in this spot. Kansas City, a short home favorite before Aaron Rodgers was scratched, is now -7.5 despite not being very good against the spread over the last season or so. Which leads to the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes being a bit overrated in my book. Meanwhile, the Packers, still have Davante Adams, and Jordan Love, who has sat for a while, now has a chance to prove all the hype was for real.
#nfl #betting #picks #week9 #bets #blog #november #thanksgiving #total #underdog #homefavorite #miami #hardrockstadium
No comments:
Post a Comment