Surprise, surprise my NFL betting friends, it's going to be really cold in Buffalo when the Bills (-7) host the Dolphins on Saturday night.
Only here's a kind reminder for bettors and everyone planning to watch and/or attend one of the key games on the NFL's Week 15 bet board:
It's the league's job, partly, to sell you on the possibility of Tua freezing to death on the 50-yard-line while millions of people watch on the NFL Network and thousands of others knock back shots of whiskey - inside a cold as **** stadium.
Why else would the NFL bet on you devoting three hours (at least) to an otherwise meaningless game a week before Christmas?
Unless, you root for the Dolphins or the Bills and/or have money riding on the outcome?
With that out of the way, are you still sinking or swimming with the Dolphins, losers of two straight games and playing for a third consecutive week on the road?
Are you ready to fade the Colts, even though they're playing on a Saturday for the first time under interim coach Jeff Saturday?
Would you bet on chicken wings over pizza, if you were hosting a football watch party?
After a 1-2 week (Viva, Sam Darnold!), which dropped my overall NFL betting record to 21-11-1, I'm motivated to get you all back to the cash window.
I'm also ready to sign a petition that would make it illegal to wear an NFL jersey out in public, if you qualify for free breakfast at (rhythms with pennies, not dimes).
Here are my NFL Week 15 betting picks.
Cold truth: QB Tua Tagovailoa, who is 1-3 all-time vs. the Bills, has never won an NFL game in Buffalo.
Colts (+4) @ Vikings: I'm just not buying what the Vikings are selling. I also feel they're very overvalued, while Indy, coming off a bye week and getting points, has the better defense, which in turn could slow things down and make this a close game. I know the Colts have been an awful first-half team this season, but the Vikings, who have only one win by more than one score, have a tendency of keeping things tight. Indy has also had an extra week to prepare for Kirk Cousins. LOL! 😁 And if that's not enough, there's no way you should pass up betting on the Colts under Jeff Saturday on a Saturday.
Dolphins (+7) @ Bills: This line smells as bad as the excuse one of my relatives uses every time he shows up .. with no FISH!! So, it's going to be cold. Whatever. The only reason the weather is being overplayed in this spot is because the NFL wants you to sit in front of your TV on Saturday night and suffer a stroke - after eating 175 wings. After one of the players freezes on the field as well. All kidding aside, the Dolphins, losers of two straight games, were in bad spots against both the 49ers and Chargers. I suspect the Dolphins, behind a steady running game and opportunistic defense, keep it close, if not win straight up in Buffalo. For all my love for the Bills, I still think they have to do a better job of running the ball if they intend to win the Super Bowl this season. And that includes trying to keep Josh Allen from seriously hurting himself.
Lions @ Jets U44.5: Jared Goff trying to throw the ball in New Jersey. I'm already laughing at the possibilities of utter disaster as Detroit, 5-1 overall in their last six games, looks to throw cold ice all over the Jets melting playoff hopes. I'm not also not betting, yet, on Zach Wilson as the long-term solution at QB for the Jets. Whatever happens, I suspect a sloppy game in the Meadowlands on Sunday afternoon.
(Please let me know what you think of my betting content on this page. I would really appreciate your support, comments and messages as well. You can also connect with me at miami_by_fernie on Instagram.)
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