Bet ✓: NFL (Week 10) Pick$ (sort of)

 Welcome back, my NFL betting friends. 

It might be the midway point of the NFL season and the leaves around you might look a little weird, but just because you're on your third cup of hot cocoa and we're swimming naked in her pool, while enjoying a fantastic view of Biscayne Bay, doesn't mean Bet ✓ doesn't aim to educate you each time you come around here.

 So, with that in mind I would like to let you know that the Week 10 NFL betting board features a few 'trap games' - you know a game in which a significant favorite is facing an opponent with a losing record and/or one deemed 'easy to beat'. Kind of like when you buy store brand chocolate chip cookies, instead of Oreo chocolate chip cookies and you come to find out that the chocolate chip cookies are more crumbs than chewy as soon as you open the bag.

Be careful what you buy into - especially when betting on NFL games. Here is a soft preview of the Week 10 NFL betting board. (Note: This is kind of an educational ride and not actual NFL picks. If you want NFL picks, cookie reviews or any other form of multimedia content you can come follow me @miami_by_fernie on Instagram and DM me. All odds used at the time of this awesome writing are likely to change.) 

Ravens (-7.5) @ Dolphins O/U 46.5: TNF game for the road favorite Ravens just four days after needing a last-second FG to send the Vikings packing. Miami, on the other hand, would have trouble scoring two touchdowns in one night - at the same bachelor's party. Yet they are a tick over a touchdown home underdogs against a supposed AFC title contender. Use smart bet acumen, while trying to put your finger (sorry) on a possible storyline for this game. Hint: 'Perfect'.

Chiefs (-2.5) @ Raiders: Here's one of those point spreads likely to increase the way of Kansas City. Despite their current problems, the public still has a soft spot for Patrick Mahomes and Co. And the Raiders just got played ... by the GIANTS!!

Bills (-13) @ NY Jets: Another good example - I feel - where NFL bettors can hopefully benefit, if not learn something from. Buffalo, coming off a terrible loss as significant road favs, failed to score a touchdown against the Jaguars. Now, they're laying nearly two end zone flips as road favs for the second straight week -- despite obvious problems on offense. Meanwhile, the Jets will be on extra rest after playing a TNF game on Nov. 4.  

 

#nfl #betting #miami #roadunderdog #homedogs #dolphins #midseason #biscaynebay #bet #football #ravens #jets #jaguars 

 

Vicky Bakery: Made for Miami

 Can you smell the aroma of guayaba dripping off one side of the pastelitos you've been thinking about because you grew up in Miami and can't go an entire day without satisfying 'un antojito'? 

 Leave it to Vicky Bakery, where anytime of the day in Miami is the perfect time to satisfy your Cuban-bred cravings with everything from savory pastelitos de guayaba y queso to neatly-pressed sandwiches and cafecitos - among the many Cuban treasures you will find at one of the Vicky Bakery stops in South Florida.

 Vicky Bakery, serving your inner Cuban hips for six decades, and with close to two dozen stores in South Florida, including my favorite in Coral Gables where I can't help but order dos pastelitos de queso y un café con leche para llevar, always hits the 'sweet spot' when you need it the most. And best of all, Vicky Bakery, open early on weekdays, is ready for business at 7 a.m. on Saturday and Sunday. So, you, like me, have no excuse to really hit the 'sweet spot'!

Vicky Bakery is guaranteed to hit your 'sweet spot'. 

Bet √: Mid-season review

  It's November, the leaves and weather is still better in Miami than anywhere you happen to be, and we're so 🔥🔥 🔥 around here's its the perfect time to tell you that 51-31-2 (.700) in combined NCAAF/NFL picks, including 7-2 last week, sounds pretty damn good at the mid-point of the football betting season. 

You see: While I put a lot of time and thought into coming up with FREE betting picks every week around here in hopes you educating you a bit on how to correctly approach football games from a 💰 perspective. I hope I've helped you in some form or another because it's one of my passions and something I take seriously.

Now, here is a Bet ✓ of my results to this point in the season. 

And always remember: READ more than your closest competitor and try to come up with tomorrow's headline today. Because every football game -- aside from having a winner and loser, on most occasions anyway -- has a storylines so a bunch of pretty people can make a living screaming into a TV 📷 near you. 

 We hit the mid-season point with a 💰 line bang thanks to an NFL kicker who just last week appeared to die on the football field. But a last-second field goal was good enough to send us to 20 games over .500 for a total of ------ after correctly picking seven out of nine plays.

 Add a 7-3 Halloween Weekend and a winning week in mid-October - with a 5-2 second week of October mixed in - and an average September, if you want to consider a 21-14 month as such, was left in the rearview mirror. And we started it out 3-2 way back in late-August (Thank you, Illinois.)

It all adds up to 51-31-2 to this point, including 26-13-1 in the NFL and 25-18-1 in college football. Bottom line: Don't think you can predict every football game. Instead, do your homework, plenty of reading included, and study the point spreads as soon as they're available to you. 

Other than that, the sports betting industry is close to really opening up in Florida, so let's connect at @miami_by_fernie on Instagram and figure out how I can help you make 💰 while perhaps also solving some of your creative thinking problems. 

At the midway point: We're 26-13-1 overall in NFL picks heading into the second week of November.

Bet √: NCAAF Pick$

 All the M&Ms - from the TWO jars your girlfriend refilled last weekend because of the slight  possibility of some snotty kid dressed as Spider Man knocking on the door in hopes of landing some $$ instead of hard candy - are GONE. And Manny Diaz is still the head coach of the Miami Hurricanes! 

 I don't know how in the world sending your sugar levels through the roof of a Miami condo after consuming a ridiculous amount of Skittles and Diaz somehow still being employed in Coral Gables are related. But it's November, real stormy outside and the the Hurricanes (4-4 SU/3-4 ATS) are would you believe it .. playing for a third straight win on Saturday. We're even on the move around here after a 4-2 week, improving to 23-17 in 2021 college football bets.

Let's take a Bet √ of the college football betting board: 

Georgia Tech @ Miami ML -420/415: Rarely would anybody in their right betting mind recommend laying such a money price -- especially on the Hurricanes, who haven't exactly been money as home favorites this season. But Miami, which has made several roster changes in recent weeks, has found its footing after knocking off two ranked opponents in consecutive weeks. QB Tyler Van Dyke, who showed he was ready to play way back in training camp, is the real deal. 

Auburn @ Texas A&M (-4): Auburn, coming off a SU win vs. Ole Miss, has been fortunate to catch some of their opponents in bad spots, including last week when they played a Rebels squad at less than 100 percent. Auburn also played Arkansas and LSU at the right time. The Aggies, off a bye and looking improved on offense, are bit undervalued in this spot. 

Navy (+21.5) @ Notre Dame: The 'Shipmen, who recently made a switch at starting quarterback, have been competitive in recent weeks with five covers in their last six games, and all of them as double-digit 'dogs. Navy also stood up to Cincinnati, before losing by a touchdown. Notre Dame, off another rivalry game, has a habit of playing down to the level of competition. Stock up on all the points..

 

On the line: Navy, (+21.5) road underdogs at Notre Dame, will look to continue an impressive streak of covering the spread as double-digit 'dogs, including five of their last six games. 

Bet √: NFL Pick$

 It's November and the leaves are starting to turn in places not named Miami, some of us are getting older, and others, like many NFL bettors for example, are going to be trying to pick every game on the betting board because they're chasing money or want to surprise someone with a new Porsche before Thanksgiving.

 Here's a friendly tip: Don't bet every NFL game.

 Finding an edge on NFL games - on a weekly basis - requires a lot of time and work. Keep that in the back of your mind when picking NFL games to bet on. My NFL picks, fortunately, are heating up with the dip in the weather (unless you're in Miami right now) as I went 3-1 in the NFL last week, and would have had a clean sweep if not for the late weirdness in Tennessee-Indy.

 Here's a Bet √ of the rest of Week 9 NFL slate - after the Colts landed the Jets back to normal grounds on TNF. Note: 21-13-1 with NFL picks, including 5-2 the last two weeks, I was 11-6 I'm November. Take advantage of them now because my FREE NFL picks will not be available for too much longer. In the meantime .. 

 Remember: Don't bet them all!

Houston @ Miami (46.5 U): A change at QB (Tyrod Taylor) was good enough to believe the Texans, for all their problems on offense, can control some pace to the game, while looking respectable on defense vs. a shaky Miami OL. Throw in possible thunderstorms and we could be in for a sloppy affair at Hard Rock Stadium.

Cover up: The Patriots, coming off a road win vs. the Los Angeles Chargers, head into Week 9 as short favorites at Carolina. 

New England @ Carolina (+4): The over/under total - Do your homework, kids - equates to a low-scoring game in this spot with the Patriots facing a rugged Panthers defense a week after a road win vs. the Chargers. Carolina, despite their struggles on offense, are constructed to slow the pace of the game and now have a game-changer in Stephon Gilmore. Bad spot for New England.

Atlanta (+6) @ New Orleans : The Saints are all of a sudden worst at starting QB - no matter who starts vs. the Falcons. And getting almost a touchdown in a divisional game with possible wild card race implications is enough to side with Atlanta a week after losing to Carolina. The Falcons, out Calvin Ridley for a second straight game, have had plenty of practice time without their star WR to scheme enough plays on offense for another of their talented players to take advantage of. Besides, the Braves won the World Series?! 

 Chicago @ Pittsburgh  ML: The Steelers, left for dead just a couple of weeks ago, are humming on defense and improving along the offensive line as they welcome a Bears team light on points production. The consensus among many of the pundits is that Pittsburgh is still a flaud living on borrowed time. The reality: The Steelers were my pick to win the AFC title. 

Buffalo @ Jacksonville (48.5U):  What do you get when you put the worst team vs. the best defense in the league on the same football field? A slow, low-scoring game thanks to the Jags coming off a bye week and Buffalo, for all their success, still struggling to find the gas pedal on offense - especially when they play outside the AFC East.

Green Bay @ Kansas City (48U): Upset alert .. which translates into a serious look at the under total in this spot. Kansas City, a short home favorite before Aaron Rodgers was scratched, is now -7.5 despite not being very good against the spread over the last season or so. Which leads to the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes being a bit overrated in my book. Meanwhile, the Packers, still have Davante Adams, and Jordan Love, who has sat for a while, now has a chance to prove all the hype was for real. 

#nfl #betting #picks #week9 #bets #blog #november #thanksgiving #total #underdog #homefavorite #miami #hardrockstadium 

Miami heat: Goya Black Beans

A quick lunch for me around the kitchen in Miami must include Goya Black Beans. 

Goya Black Beans - or unos buenos frijoles negros as we say en casa in the 305 - over a pile of smooth white rice is a perfect and affordable lunch to fuel on before preparing for your next meeting.

 And best of all (A 15 oz. can of) Goya Black Beans, already prepared with olive oil, onion and bell pepper, take about five minutes - 5 MINUTES - after I add chopped onions, cilantro, a teaspoon of sugar and another drop of olive oil before heating over the stove, and serving. 

Miami heat: Goya Black Beans over white rice is a perfect and affordable lunch for anyone making it happen in the 305. 

 Goya Black Beans, while full of flavor and convenient for someone like me, are also a great source of fiber and protein. And if you have Goya Black Beans leftovers .. NO PROBLEM. Just freeze your Goya Black Beans for a better taste later. 

You can purchase Goya Beans, available in Red Kidney (Beans), Chick Peas, Pink Beans and Pinto Beans, among other type of Goya Beans, c for approximately .95 cents at your local market in Miami. Because when its lunchtime around here ..  Si es Goya .. it has to be really good! 

#goya #blackbeans #arrozblanco #miami #lunch #beans #quick #recipe #305 #whiterice #frijolesnegros 

Bet ✓: NCAAF Rank$

 

Welcome back, college football bettors -- even those of you calling for Miami head coach Manny Diaz to be fired. 

Well, fortunately for Diaz, the Hurricanes (4-4 SU), winners of two straight games, including last week as +10 road underdogs vs. Pittsburgh, start November as ACC Coastal contenders, still, after putting extra weight on the shoulders of young players - such QB Tyler Van Dyke and S James Williams  - looking to compete, while save facing for a once proud football program. 

Unlike players already counting their respective NFL 💰 checks. The Hurricanes (-420) are a good bet to beat Georgia Tech on Saturday. So, let's do a Bet ✓ of our Top-10 Ranking$:

1.) Georgia: Who will play QB this week? Who cares .. since the 'Dogs proved once again they are fueled by a dominant defense. But beware: At some point (SEC Championship Game?), Georgia will definitely need to keep up on the scoreboard. Track value on those under totals.

2.) Ohio State: The Buckeyes, perfect in Big 10 play and squarely in the CFP hunt, weren't exactly perfect vs. Penn State, yet walked away with nearly walked away with a double-digit win last week. Keep an eye on those over totals.

3.) Oregon: Don't discount the Ducks trashing Colorado - especially coming off ho-hum wins over Cal and UCLA. The physical nature of the Ducks - on both sides of the ball - makes them a legit CFP contender if they win the rest of their games - before January. Look for value down the road .. when you see the Ducks as 'dogs.

4.) Oklahoma: The Sooners have a different feel with Caleb Williams under center. However, one question always lingers around Oklahoma: Is their defense good enough to win the whole thing? Proceed with plenty of caution.

5.) Alabama: Can you picture Nick Saban blowing out candles off a birthday 🍰? Exactly. Neither can I. But looking for bet value on Alabama to make the CFP can still turn out very sweet for you.

 

This close: #5 Alabama, coming off a bye, host LSU on Saturday with their CFP hopes on the line.

6.) Michigan: Sorry. The Wolverines led practically the entire way, before suffering a bad beat vs. Michigan State. They still have way too much talent, and upcoming tilt vs. Ohio State. So, we're not throwing in the towel just yet.

7.) Michigan State: See above. The Spartans, while very good, were literally gifted a big win by Michigan. Shock me again. And come around, here. Until then .. bet against the Spartans.

8.) Cincinnati: I know. I know. The Bearcats, sporting a terrific defense and opportunistic offense, are undefeated and all. Its the committee I worry about when they pit the 'Cats vs. the rest of the CFP candidates.

9.) Notre Dame: Brand names MATTER! So, don't fade the Irish just yet. Even with their struggles to consistently run the ball with any success.

10.) Wake Forest: Sam Hartman for Heisman ?!?? The Demon Decans, riding the first 8-0 start in school history, should be taken very seriously -- especially if you're looking to bet those over totals .. because Wake Forest just keeps scoring and scoring ..