Thursday, September 16, 2021

Bet ✓: NFL Week 2

Are you ready to .. fade the Packers off your betting island after a SU and ATS Week 1 staycation in Jacksonville, Florida - room service secondary included? Or sharp enough to bet your last dollar on pepper jack cheese over cheddar cheese any day of the week?

In the spirit of 12+ hours of NFL action on a couch near you and soft lines , let's do a 'Bet ✓' of the NFL Week 2 bet board, cheeseheads. (Note: Week 1 underdogs went 12-4 ATS, including nine SU wins:)  

Bills (0-1 SU/ATS) vs. Dolphins (1-0 SU/ATS)

Buffalo (-3.5) outgained Pittsburgh despite all their sloppiness in a SU home loss in Week 1. Now, the Bills, who present the Dolphins secondary with quite an aerial challenge, are road favs at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. Keep a bettor's eye on the total of approx. 48 and the weather which calls for possible rain storms throughout the game.

 

Home 'dogs: The Dolphins (+3.5) host the Bills at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.

49ers (1-0 SU/ATS) @ Eagles (1-0 SU/ATS)

San Francisco (-3.5), a ferocious comeback survivor in Week 1, will likely be a few cheese steaks in when they kickoff as road favorites for the second straight week - this time in Philadelphia. The 49ers, despite traveling with a banged up secondary, have brought back some πŸ’° all week, while the Eagles have the goods, especially out wide, to cause some serious defensive matchup problems for San Francisco.

Patriots (0-1 SU/ATS) @ Jets (0-1 SU/1-0 ATS)

New England (-5.5), apparently in need of cleaning up their execution, namely on offense, heads to the Meadowlands as chalk for the second week in a row - even after a Week 1 SU and ATS loss vs. the Dolphins. Is that enough for you to trust the Patriots, playing another divisional game with a rookie starting QB, to score enough points to get their first SU win of the season - against an underrated defense? Or maybe, you're leaning on the Jets to get you back to the betting window as home 'dogs - behind an opportunistic running game ready to help open holes in the middle of the field for QB Zach Wilson to exploit? 

#staycation #pepperjack #cheedarcheese #cheeseheads #nfllines #betcheck #bet #underdog #ats #straightup #betting #pointspread #moneyline #homeunderdog #roadfav #sportsbook #bettor

Miami Spice: Mignonette (Miami)

 Still in Miami Spice mood, Miami? 

 Mignonette Miami (210 NE 18th St., Miami, Florida 33132), a Miami Spice participating restaurant, baits seafood lovers with a slew of seafood options starting off with a fresh batch of oysters and followed by scallops and a juicy 🍀 cocktail - all washed down with a DogFish 60 Minute IPA. 

Although any seafood lover visiting Mignonette Miami will likely need an hour to settle in - especially on a Saturday afternoon - a follow up featuring buttery lobster rolls and pan roasted grouper, both paired with sweet potato wedges, will have you scurrying over the extensive wine list; if not forgetting the Mignonette Miami menu is salmon-free. And the portions just enough to leave room for you to end your lunch with a creamy piece of key lime pie.

 

At the bar: Mignonette Miami opens at 5 p m.


#miamispice #mignonette #seafood #miami #restaurant #rawbar #fish #oysters #shrimp #lunch #dinner #crabcake #food #marketing #ftlauderdale

Bet ✓: Top-10 food items to score a homegating TD

Watching a college football game without hot sauce stains all over your Gators t-shirt and BBQ sauce dripping down both sides of your face is enough to flag you with pass interference. After making you eat an entire tray of vegetables.

 But with over 1,000 college football games remaining on the 2022 schedule, you have plenty of time to make a delicious mess out of your college football game day experience. Whether you're working over Johnsonville sweet sausages on the grill - with a cold 🍺 in your ✋, of course - or surrounded by drunk buddies on your couch.

 Here are 10 'Bet ✓' food items that not will have you doing a touchdown dance in your driveway,  but will definitely help you score big-time during your college football homegating experience.

1.) πŸ•: Sausages, mushrooms and pepperoni πŸ•, please. Nothing smells better than Nick Saban and a pair of shoulder pads - after 60 minutes - than a '16 inch πŸ• on college football gameday. Sharing the πŸ• with your friends is optional.

2.) πŸ” wings: πŸ” wings are so college football, they should have their own band section since you can eat πŸ” wings breaded or unbreaded, and marinated in a variety of flavors. Go boneless and cue up the BBQ sauce - with plenty of hot sauce on the side. Send the celery and carrots for a walk with the trombone player.

3.) Chips and guacamole: Your college football gameday homegating experience should definitely be dipped in homemade guacamole - after you bag the perfect tortilla chips. (Note: Non-scooping your homemade guacamole while watching a college football game is grounds for a booth review of your unethical eating habits.

4.) Grilled sausages: Knowing the sweet Johnsonville sausages you put on your grill right before kickoff are turning up golden in time for another cold 🍺 is enough reason to sit through an entire quarter of Alabama vs. Mercer on the SEC Network. Add some sweet peppers to your Johnsonville sausages .. and you might be dreaming of a date with Ms. Terry by halftime.

     

 Perfect fit: Johnsonville sweet Italian sausages are ideal for your college football gameday homegating experience.

5.) Potato chips: Potato chips, especially BBQ potato chips, are are the perfect snack for you to survive your college football gameday homegating experience without having to worry about staining your wife's $800 hand bag with sticky fingers or high-fiving your best friend after a 65-yard touchdown pass. Even nuts would work if you want to make it through four quarters with cleaner hands than your average college football gameday slub.

6.) Burgers: Burgers - well-cooked burgers - are essential to any and all college football gameday homegating experience(s). I mean ... I see some of you already wiping the mustard and relish off your face.

7.) Hot dogs: Whether your college football gameday homegating experience is kid-friendly or not, a branded hot dog - with an extra sizzle right off your grill - is a good way to balance things out at halftime. Even if the your favorite college football team is down 30 points.

8.) Steaks: The ladies in the room will dig your snub depth on college football gameday if you take the time to cut up a couple medium rare steaks - to match with grilled veggies. 

9.) Meatballs: Meatballs done right are like a fumble recovery at your opponent's 4-yard-line with 1:54 left on the clock - they're a game-changer and a great source of protein. Only a glass of 🍷 and some sauteed greens can make your college football gameday homegating meatballs even more of a soul-satisfying experience. 

10.) Shrimp cocktail: Put a smile on that sad supermarket shrimp tray with some spicy flour before tossing your shrimp in a skillet - until golden crispy. Add some chili sauce, Tabasco and a touch of lemon to really πŸ”₯ up your college football gameday homegating experience. 

#collegefootball #homegating #food #top10 #gamedayexperience #bbqsauce #johnsonville #sausages #pizza #chickenwings #burgers #hotdogs #chips #guacamole #marketing #ftlauderdale #team #wordbyfernie #shrimpcocktail #hotdogs

Wednesday, September 15, 2021

Bet ✓ : Bills (0-1) @ Dolphins (1-0)

Can Dolphins (+3.5), the only AFC East team to check off a SU win in their season opener -- a 17-16 road tally over the Patriots -- duplicate their Week 1 effort, only this time as home 'dogs vs. the rival Bills on Sunday afternoon at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida? 

Or are the Bills, 5-0 SU vs. the Dolphins in their last five head-to-head matchups, ready to get to the betting window after outgaining the Steelers (371-252) in total yards last week? 'Bet ✓' takes a bettor's view of Bills (-3.5) @ Dolphins - possible rain showers in the forecast included:

With a total of 48 or thereabouts and open of (-3.5), depending on your sportsbook of choice, before the home 'dog caught some πŸ’°, this AFC East tilt, features the second straight in-division opportunity for the Dolphins to cash as underdogs, while the Bills are laying wood as favorites - even after losing to the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 1. 

Buffalo, 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS as a road favorite the last four seasons, provides Miami with a aerial challenge which will likely dictate the pace of the game - contingent on whether Josh Allen finds success vs. the Dolphins secondary. 

         

Fresh 'Fish: Can the Dolphins (+3.5), easy bait for the early-90s Bills, including the 1993 AFC Championship Game at Joe Robbie Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida, score a second straight SU win to start the 2021 season - against their long-time AFC East rival? Photo: Getty Images

On the flip side, the Dolphins, likely to lean on an aggressive defense all season long, while reigning in Tua Tagovailoa for the most part, will be out to set the pace to the game behind their offensive line - which will likely be upgraded with the return of starting LT Austin Jackson. 'Bet ✓' recommends you do extensive homework before making a bet on Bills @ Dolphins.

#dolphins #bills #afceast #homedogs #total #roadfavs #sportsbook #money #betting #straightup #ats #miami #nfl #bets #market #bettingcontent #hardrockstadium  



         




Tuesday, September 14, 2021

Bet Check: NCAAF Rankings

 If you know anything about trading stocks, then trying to capitalize on the sports betting market, where you should be trying to edge out a smart bet by looking for pricing (value) and probability (deflation), among other things, should feel like similar grounds.

And while 'Bet ✓' keeps track of what college football teams are rising and falling, respectively, throughout the season, we also like the idea of creating our own power rankings to perhaps help you make as many smart bets as responsibly possible. Here are 'Bet ✓' power rankings through Week 2:

1.) Alabama: More of the same through two weeks - against flawed Miami and begging Mercer. But proceed with caution, starting Saturday in Gainesville, FL - especially if you've watched the 'Tide already lose key players on defense. They might not be the 🏦 roll you're led to believe - SEC included.

2.) Georgia: Sunday talent on the defensive line + a motivated starting QB should make for double digit trips to the betting window - to cash on πŸ’° line betting tickets.

3.) Oregon: Don't be fooled by the quirky uniform colors and combos  The Ducks are physical on both sides of the ball - as the overvalued Buckeyes found out - and offer plenty of value. Especially if you spot them as a 'dog throughout the 2021 season.

4.) Florida: Under the radar with a diverse offensive style - that plays into Dan Mullens' hands - and talented defense lit of star transfers. Jump on bandwagon and stay on the bandwagon - before the betting market catches on.  

5.) UCLA: Physical on both sides of the ball and undervalued because .. well the 'talking puppets' rather blow up 'Bama instead of staying up late to watch Chip's Kids. Plenty of chances to buy low on game day πŸ’° lines and as possible 'dog down the road.

6.) Penn State: Top-rated defense and unbalance at QB offers plentyf value on under/over totals - including Saturday night in Happy Valley.


                

#11 Florida (+15) gets a shot vs. #1 Alabama on Saturday afternoon in Gainesville, FL.

7.) USC: Don't jump off the train just yet - instead start buying low on a very talented roster with plenty to play for still, including depth chart spots and auditions for a new coach. πŸ”₯ up the coffee machine and fit the Trojans into your late-night affairs. 

8.) Oklahoma: Go over the totals until further notice. The Sooners still have serious problems in the secondary. Add a QB aiming to be the No.1 pick in the 2022 NFL Draft and sit back to enjoy the scoreboard lighting up.

9.) Iowa: See No. 6 - although could be in for a flat spot after a huge SU win vs. a rival. In the meantime, look to bet the under totals.

10.) Texas: Still worth monitoring for value despite a young QB showing he was a bit rattled by the road environment. Buy cheap on the Longhorns.

11-20

(Clemon, Virginia Tech, Miami, Ohio St., Virginia, Notre Dame, North Carolina, Texas A&M, Ole Miss and Wake Forest)

#collegefootball #betting #powerrankings #sportsbettingmarket #betcheck #smartbets #betting #value #price #market #moneyline #betting #cash 

Friday, September 10, 2021

Bet Check: App. St. vs. Miami

Still down on the Miami Hurricanes - and the Palmetto Expressway - after watching the Hurricanes get drilled by Alabama (whoopy) and you getting stuck in traffic on 836? 

No worries. Just buy low and bet the Hurricanes (-9), still made up of a very talented roster, including several future Sunday players, despite getting outclassed by the No.1 team in the nation, on getting you back to the cash window with a ATS victory over Appalachian St. (1-0) on Saturday night at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.

The Hurricanes (0-1) appeared to check out after falling behind by 24 points in the first half in Atlanta, but played much better in the second half, especially on defense, despite not covering +19.5. The Mountaineers, while talented at several positions on the field, were exposed defensively by giving up plenty of chunk plays vs. East Carolina last week  And Miami has the offensive personnel to really make App. St. pay for those shortcomings.

Catching UM as a single digit home favorite, if you still can, is a bargain if you're looking to bet the Coastal Division contenders to score a SU and ATS win in their 2021 home opener.

'Bet Check', while likely would punt on this one, recommends the undervalued Miami, a perfect example of general public overreaction after playing Alabama, as a small lean play for betting purposes.

#miamihurricanes #sportsbooks #bet #betting #collegefootball #miami #wager #homefavorite #undervalued 



The Miami Hurricanes (0-1) host Appalachian State (1-0) on Saturday, September 11 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. Miami is a (-9) home favorite at most U.S. sportsbooks.




Bet Check: Week 1 Dolphins vs. Patriots

 The Dolphins (-2.5) jump right into the AFC East pool to open their 2021 NFL betting schedule with a Week 1, late-Sunday road test vs. the Patriots in Foxborough, Massachusetts in what should be a tightly-contested game between divisional rivals. 

Is a projected leap forward from second-year starting QB Tua Tagovailoa, combined with an above-average defense, enough for you to bet on the road underdog? Or do the prospects of Patriots rookie QB Mac Jones tearing through the Dolphins secondary have you ready to go with the home favorite? Let's take a 'Bet Check':

Miami opened at (+2) in May - at a variety of sportsbooks - before the Patriots took some money to being the spread up a tick.

This one is tricky, at least to the naked eye, because the Patriots recently shipped away Cam Newton - shortly after discarding of a featured RB. But NFL bettors shouldn't take the bait. Jones will be operating behind a solid OL and plenty of talented options on offense. And paired with a Top-5 defense, the Patriots will be a smart betting option all season long. 

The Dolphins, on the flip side, are still breaking in plenty of new pieces on offense and will arrive in New England with a reconfigured offensive line - for now. Not exactly, a winning proposition considering they are going up against a very good defense line. 

'Bet Check' recommends taking a look and leaning, slightly, on the total of 44 - if you can find it at your sportsbook of choice. Opened at 43.5 in most shops, the total went up as high as 45.5 before apparently settling at 44. And if you think the Patriots will ease their quarterback's way through the playbook, at least early in the season, and the Dolphins will manage to control New England's running game, the under play makes sense.

(Are you interested in contacting me or seeing more of my work for business purposes? DM me at miami_by_fernie on Instagram or Facebook.)


Warming up: QB Tua Tagovailoa prepares at Dolphins practice for a Week 1 showdown vs. the New England Patriots. 

#nfl #week1 #bet #sportsbetting #betting #sportsbook #overunder #totalpoints #money #spread #bettingwindow #cash #bets #miami #afceast 





Points well taken: What is a NFL + NCAAF spread bet and how can you make one

For sharps or the most novice of sports bettors in Florida , recently added to the long list of states where you can make a legal sports b...