Bet ✓: NCAAF Pick$

 Raise your Cuban mojito if you thought Manny Diaz would still be the head coach of the Miami Hurricanes, just a few days before Halloween? You liar! 

You're either, already high on Skittles, after stealing your 8-year-old's backpack, or spilling your Cuban mojito all over the bar at your favorite Coral Gables hideout as the barkeeper you've been after for six months gives you dirty looks. 

But keep trying because if the Hurricanes (3-4 SU, 2-4 ATS), who appear to be rising (*competitive) from the dead after a slow start to the season, are still live for a 🎳 game heading into Pittsburgh as +9 road underdogs on Saturday, anything is definitely possible. So, clean up your mess and take a look at the Bet ✓ board. (Note: I stand at 37-27-1 overall, including 19-15-1 in college football.)

Georgia vs. Florida (+14.5)/U51: Somehow, the Gators, coming off an awful SU loss to LSU, rack up a solid number when it comes to yards per play on offense. And better than any team Georgia has played so far. Florida is also healthy. Georgia is not. Take the points - and the under total - in a big rivalry game about to take over Jacksonville, Florida.

Ole Miss @ Auburn, U66: Pretty even matchup here - especially when you equate the home-field advantage. Auburn, coming off a bye week, is catching Ole Miss on their fifth straight conference game. And the Rebels, still aching at several key positions, including starting QB, didn't exactly light up an LSU team on the verge of giving up last week.

Just enough: Can the Gators cover +14.5 as significant underdogs vs. No. 1 Georgia?

Penn State (+18.5) @ Ohio State: Penn State is relatively healthy, including QB Sean Clifford, despite suffering a crippling defeat last week. This number seems a bit high -- no matter how much the Buckeyes have improved in recent weeks. Besides .. this is Penn State's last chance to get back into the Big 10 race.

Michigan @ Michigan State, U50.5: Michigan, back in the national title landscape, had played a better schedule and should cover the (-4) number going away. But look for the Wolverines to get there very slowly .. in a hard-hitting and low-scoring contest.

Miami (+10) @ Pittsburgh: Really? So, the Panthers handle Clemson and get double-digit love ?? Really?! I'll bet the Hurricanes, playing their second road game in three weeks, stay very close to the number as they continue to try to save Manny Diaz from himself - while in front of microphone. 

Eat Skittles and Crunch bars, too. 

Bet ✓: NFL Pick$

 Here's a FREE NFL betting tip before the start of the Week 8 bet board goes off with Packers @ Cardinals on Thursday Night Football: 

 Underdogs are 58-49 ATS so far this season, including 30-12 as a 'dog of at least + 7. Yes. That means teams packing up for a road game this season are winning at an alarming rate - putting a sheet of ice over the so called home-field advantage. Even our Miami Dolphins have a straight up win as a road underdog in 2021.

But whether or not, I just convinced you to bet the Packers (+6) tonight is another story because I honestly think you should read on since I want you to feel my passion and respect for this kind of stuff. I also think you will enjoy my creative writing and betting perspective. And even if you don't, I thank you for your time and support around here. Here's a Bet ✓ of the NFL Week 8 board. (Note: I was right on four of six picks last week to improve to 37-27-1 overall on the season, including 18-12 on NFL picks.)

1.) Packers (+6) @ Cardinals: Quite a step up for the all-of-a-sudden popular Cardinals (7-0 SU), getting top bill at home on TNF. But the Packers (6-1 SU) have been nearly perfect since losing to New Orleans in Week 1. And if you're going to start doing the math on what not having Davante Adams available means to the Packers' 💰 chances, add JJ Watts not playing for the Cardinals. Arizona has the feel of a paper champion. In Aaron Rodgers I trust.

2.) Steelers (+4) @ Browns: You can't write a 💰 check big enough to convince me the Steelers, who appear to be turning the corner after winning 11 SU last season, are not better than the injury-plagued Browns right now. The Steelers appear to have their OL issues kind of fixed, and Ben Roethlisberger is 23-2-1 all-time vs. the Browns. Send that blank 💰 check.

Old rivals: The Steelers (+4) are road underdogs vs. the Browns in a AFC North clash on Sunday afternoon.

3.) Titans @ Colts (+1.5): Be careful if you're going to come upon a bet here because the Titans are coming off straight up wins over the Bills and Chiefs -- both very flawed teams. The Colts have won 22 of 26 vs. Tennessee - per ESPN Stats & Information - and lost to their division rivals just a month ago so another setback would all but eliminate their AFC South hopes for 2021. Tennessee hasn't been great away from home in recent memory, while Indianapolis features a run defense plenty good enough to control Derrick Henry. Bet the 🏇.. 

4.) Panthers (+2.5) @ Falcons: Don't discount the importance here as far as the NFC playoff picture is concerned as both sides are currently in the wild-card mix. Something seems off here because the Panthers are coming off being embarrassed by the Giants, and the Falcons escaped with a last-second win in Miami - after wins over the Jets and Giants. There's value on the Panthers in this spot. And if you don't believe me just read the first paragraph of this article.

(Like what you see? I think you should follow and connect with me on Instagram @miami_by_fernie. You may not even want to read any of my awesome content, but know someone who wants to buy a glass of my digital creative juice. Thanks again.)

Bet ✓: College Football Ranking$

 Lesson No.1 if you come around here, and you're getting ready to bet on some Week 9 college football games this Saturday, including Bulldogs vs. Gators in Jacksonville, Florida: 

 NEVER hinge your bet on whatever your favorite pregame show says before kickoff. Instead, make a habit of dissecting spreads and 💰 lines to arrive at your bet - because nothing Tim Tebow says is going to help put 💰 in your college football bankroll. Let's take a Bet ✓ of my Top-10 ranking$. (Note: I apply a betting value perspective to my rankings.) 

 1.) Georgia: The Bulldogs, at around +105 bet to win the national title, are still the best college football team in the country as they prepare for the Gators as a -14.5 favorite. Rivalry games should be played with a Sharp's eye, but if the Bulldogs win on Saturday they can start planning on the SEC Championship Game.

 2.) Cincinnati: Still relatively untested through two months, but a date with SMU in late November will likely determine the Bearcats path to the CFP.  Or elsewhere. In the meantime, bettors should track the over totals as Cincinnati looks to run up some scores on their opposition in hopes of earning points with the committee.

3.) Ohio State: This isn't the same bunch that lost to a flawed Oregon team at home. If the Buckeyes, a short price to get back to the CFP, get past the Wolverines they will likely play deep into January.

4.) Alabama: There is a good chance the CFP committee will overlook all of 'Bama's issues if they get by Georgia in the SEC Championship Game. It might be a good idea to get a price on the Tide getting to the CFP.

5.) Michigan: Is this finally the year the Wolverines get in done vs. Ohio State? If so, they're going to be doing some serious 🎳.

6.) Oklahoma: Plenty not to like here, but the Sooners still remain one of the nation's undefeated teams so that counts for something. But bettors should proceed with caution when backing Oklahoma.

 

No. 1: Are the Bulldogs, (+700) to win the national title this season, on upset alert as -14.5 favorites vs. Florida?

7.) Ole Miss: Warning: The Rebels continue to show marked improvement on defense, and if they box in Auburn .. another jump in the rankings is likely to come soon.

8.) Oregon: The Ducks, who appear to enjoy playing down to their competition, barely survived UCLA. How many more chances will they get before luck runs out on Phil's Kids? Bet the Ducks with extreme caution.

9.) Michigan State: Is a powerful running attack is enough to keep the Spartans relevant among some of the above? Brand matters around here and Michigan State just might be a little too green when it comes to cache.

10.) Notre Dame: The 'Irish got well on offense vs. USC last week -- after struggling for much of the season with Jack Coan under center. Regardless: Don't fade the 'Irish just yet. See above!  

Tom's NFL American Sports Bar & Grill

  

Be honest. Just because you may be down on the Dolphins, like me, doesn't mean you're not already thinking about the fresh sizzle arising off your 🐔 wings and the thick frost of another cold 🍺 as you root for Tua to get it together - at your favorite no-frills sports bar in Miami.

Tom's NFL American Sports Bar & Grill (5001 NW 36 St., Miami, Florida 33166) is that place for me. And should be your sports bar of choice to root for the next Dolphins touchdown.

Especially on Sunday, when you can cheer on the home team surrounded by some of your rowdiest friends, and plenty of locals, too, amid a friendly and casual atmosphere that will make you feel as if you're tossing it around in your backyard. Only you can do it like me, after starting off with a 20-piece order of Special Grilled 🐔 wings (BBQ sauce on the side) and 20 oz. Guinness 🍺 before moving on to Tom's Burger, a beefy Ground chuck Angus with lettuce, 🍅 and extra pickles on a kaiser roll ... in time to cheer for another touchdown as if you were right at home. 

And don't forget that the Dolphins have some birds to fry on Sunday. See you at Tom's NFL American Sports Bars & Grill ..!?! 

 

Neighborhood cheer: Tom's NFL American Sports Bar & Grill (5001 NW 36 St., Miami, Florida 33166) is a longtime welcome mat for locals and tourists in Miami. 

Bet ✓: NFLW7/NCAAFW8 Bet Board

  My only concern as I watched dejected head coach Manny Diaz standing in the corner of an empty stadium after another crushing defeat was how much 💰 the Miami Hurricanes (2-4 SU/1-4 ATS) have cost bettors this season despite a backdoor cover last time out. 

  But the Hurricanes' issues, costing college football bettor's aside, pale in comparison to their Hard Rock Stadium roommate-Dolphins, who are (1-5 SU/1-5 ATS) after losing on a last-second FG to arguably the worst team in the NFL, and failing to cover as solid chalk. 

The Dolphins are not only a bad bet right now, but a franchise lacking direction -- especially at starting QB -- of all of positions -- where they seem intrigued by Tua Tagovailoa, but not ready to drop on one knee for the former first-round pick. 

 So, while the Dolphins, in dire need of a complete reboot again, from their general manager to the head coach, figure out how to get to the 💰 window, let's take a Bet ✓ of the NCAAF and NFL bet boards this week, where we find a few double-digit favorites (6-2 ATS this season in the NFL). 

 (Note: I have compiled a 33-25-1 overall record, including bouncing back at 5-3 last week, after taking a few bad beats to start October. I do tons of homework, watch a ridiculous amount of games, and still believe in using a combination of intuition and past performances to arrive at my picks.)

 Bears (+12.5) @ Buccaneers 

 The Bears, for all their problems on offense, had some success on the ground vs. the Packers, and Justin Fields now has another week under his belt. While the Bucs might have a strong defensive line, their secondary, ravaged by injuries in recent weeks, appears a bit vulnerable, and is a good bet to give up some big plays. Chicago, who took down 'old Tommy just a season ago, has better 🍕 than Tampa -- so take the Bears to the betting window.

 Falcons (-2.5) @ Dolphins

 Is there a logical reason in your mind to bet on the Dolphins as short home underdogs a week after taking a gut-punch? Meanwhile, Atlanta, making moves on offense, has seen Matt Ryan throw for at least two touchdown passes in the last four games, not to mention benefit from the emergence of WR Calvin Ridley and TE Kyle Pitts. Besides, the Dolphins couldn't even get an off-week from the NFL after being shipped to London. And the Falcons arrive a well-rested bunch. You're a real pro, if you can cover your nose and spread 💰 on the 🎏.

 Bengals (+6.5) @ Ravens 

 Cincinnati catching almost a full touchdown against a divisional opponent is enough to still believe Joe Burrow has a higher upside than Lamar Jackson -- any day of the week. Trust the Bengals, firing away on offense, to stay within the number, if not pull out the SU win. Send us some 🦀 🍰, though.

 Saints @ Seahawks (+4.5)

 Geno Smith vs. Jameis Winston on MNF might be cause for another round of Succession reruns on HBO. Trust me. But for 'Bet ✓' it's plenty of reason to bet the home 'dog off -- especially whenever you can catch points going against Winston.

Ducks @ Bruins - Under 60

Another spot where the unranked team is a short favorite. But with an uninspiring Oregon offense and UCLA reeving up it's running game to open up play-action scenarios, the end zone might be a distant memory on Saturday afternoon. Bet the under total.

 Tigers @ Rebels - Under 76

 Ole Miss is really bang up - QB Matt Corral included. LSU, on the other hand, controlled the pace vs. Florida by running the ball effectively. That's a lot of points to cover for two teams with serious questions.

 

Nose of the ball: Can Oregon, short road underdogs this week, count on an injury-plagued offense to score enough points vs. UCLA? 

#nflbets #bettingwindow #money #miami #football #nfl #collegefootball #straightup #homedog #roadfav #pizza #crabcakes #oregon #bettingboard 

Bet √: NFL Ranking$

 Already dreading the thought of digging for your favorite part of the turkey stuffing as the creepy cousin you haven't seen in three years eyes your girlfriend from the other side of the table? 

 You're also probably still sick to your stomach because you bet on the Dolphins to cover the three-point spread vs. the Jagaurs on Sunday morning. But it should be clear to you by now that the Dolphins, who are 1-5 SU and ATS, are as good as fried just six weeks into the NFL season. And you should stop betting on them because the league appears to be wide open this season, and you have plenty of betting options elsewhere.

 So, let's take a 'Bet √' of our Top-10 NFL Power Rankings - put together from a betting perspective to help you make smart NFL bets.

1.) Cowboys: That's six ATS covers for a very good, not great, team which the market is closing in on fast. And you should be tracking money lines to back arguably the best team in the NFC -- despite their head coach. (Note: I don't think coaches matter much, especially in the NFL.

2.) Packers: Remember when Green Bay lost to New Orleans? The Packers have been on an ATS tear over the last several weeks, but could be a product of a soft schedule, so far. Use caution when betting on Green Bay -- especially as we get deeper into the season. 

3.) Steelers: Buy cheap, while you can, on a legit AFC title contender. Future prices will definitely go up when the Steelers roll up a few more wins.

4.) Bucs: Right here, right now. But do you trust the Bucs defense enough to back them long-term? Don't let Richard Sherman answer that, please.

  

Shielding issues: Are the Bucs, despite a strong start to the season, good enough on defense to repeat as Super Bowl champs?

5.) Bills: The best of the AFC East - but use caution when backing the Bills if they're not playing the Jets, Dolphins or Patriots.

6.) Rams: Class of an all-of-a-sudden not so sexy NFC West. You should think twice before going to the cash money window to bet on an overrated coach with a starting quarterback who will be stepping into high-pressure playoff situations in due time.

7.) Cardinals: See above. Do you really trust Kyler Murray with Arizona down two touchdowns in the fourth quarter of a playoff game? 

8.) Raiders: Solid dark horse, along with the Steelers, to win the AFC -- and you can probably get a nice $ right now. Note: Their former coach didn't take arguably the most talented roster in the conference with him - when he resigned. Keep catching them as underdogs, too.

9.) Chargers: Like the Raiders, a strong roster from top to bottom; never mind a very well coached team that got caught in a bad spot last week.

10.) Ravens: Enjoy the publicity ride, if you're a Lamar Jackson fan. Teams built like the Ravens, namely on offense, struggle to score enough points when it matters most. Hint: In the playoffs.

#nfl #powerrankings #betting #bets #ravens #dolphins #turkeystuffing #afceast #raiders #bucs #cowboys #sportsbook #miami #underdogs #betcheck

Sample byline: Fernie Ruano